CNI News
20 July 2025

The Myanmar Tatmadaw overthrew the NLD government on February 1, claiming that the NLD attempted to form a government without solving the vote list dispute that took place in the 2020 general election and declared the state of emergency and has been ruling the country. 

Then, a political crisis emerged and armed revolutions aiming to overthrow the Myanmar Tatmadaw and the SAC have arisen. Due to the political crisis, the establishment of democracy and federalism have been far away.

Therefore, the SAC is planning to hold elections in December 2025 and January 2026, and has said that state power will be handed over to the party that wins the elections. 

CNI News Agency interviewed Sai Nyunt Lwin, chairman of the Shan Nationalities League for Democracy (SNLD), who has decided not to contest the upcoming elections, while urging them to conduct dialogues regarding these situations.

Q: Do you think it is possible to rebuild democracy in Myanmar now?

A: Most organizations have been saying that they will rebuild democracy until now. In reality, it is not easy to predict how it will turn out. Since the rule of law and stability have not yet been established, it must be said that restoring democracy is a distant dream.

Q: How far do you think the federal union that non-Bamar ethnic groups are demanding has been away while democracy is collapsing? What is your opinion on the view that if democracy is not achieved, federalism is also impossible?

A: All the organizations, big and small, involved in the current problems are saying that they will build a federal democratic union. Almost all the opposition organizations are shouting that they will build a federal democratic union. 

The strange thing is that this point is the same between the two groups that are fighting against each other. It's like they're fighting with each other with the same goal. It is true that it is very difficult to establish a federal union without democracy.

Democracy is also related to the rule of law, so it is true that the current situation in Myanmar is very far from restoring a democratic system with the rule of law.

While seeing the Myanmar national flag

Q: Now Myanmar is in a state of collapse and the various groups concerned are not trying to maintain this situation but are only trying to gain power. Meanwhile, what is the way to regain control of the situation by taking the people's support?

A: Our Three Main National Causes in Myanmar: non-disintegration of the Union, non-disintegration of national solidarity, and perpetuation of sovereignty are showing cracks. It can be said that the unity of the local elements has been broken. It is really sad. Each relevant group is only focused on winning the war and gaining power. 

The resentment and hatred between the two sides are also intense. The people are also suffering from various kinds of problems and are struggling with their own problems. I find it difficult to harness the power of the people. So far, there has been no clear person/organization that can harness the power of the people and save the situation again. 

Looking at the current situation, the military approach is leading. The political approach has been left far behind for many years. It is necessary to reduce military means and step up political means.

Looking at the current situation, the military approach is leading. The political approach has been left far behind for many years. We need to work to reduce military power and increase political power. 

In practice, we haven't seen even a hint of improvement in politics. To reform the situation by harnessing the power of the people is not possible through military means, but only through political means. Currently, political means have been dim because it is not allowed to be implemented.

While a peace forum was being held

Q: They are talking about elections as a way out of Myanmar politics to restore democracy and build a federal union. Do you really think that holding elections will restore democracy and federalism? Isn't there any other way than elections?

A: The elections scheduled to be held in December are not a way out for the people. It is difficult to say that the elections are free and fair because the situation has been planned in order that the party that won in the 2020 general election cannot participate. 

If we are going to hold a free and fair election, there needs to be an environment that is conducive to it. I don't think that's the case at the moment. In my opinion, the only way out for the country is through an election that is held in consultation with and agreed upon by the majority of key stakeholders. 

It is said that there have been 43 agreements after the NSPNC discussed with some political parties. But since they are kept secret, how can the public vote based on the “agreements”? It is said that elections should be transparent, right? It is impossible to say that simply holding the upcoming elections successfully will mean that democracy can be restored and a federal union can be built.

It is impossible to say that simply holding the upcoming elections successfully will mean that democracy can be restored and a federal union can be built. Everybody knows it. The only other way, other than elections, is to use political means, namely national reconciliation. 

In a time when war and hatred are so great, those who urge to hold a bilateral dialogue are opposed in the sense that they should be given the death sentence. No one dares to say it. The country suffers and will suffer.

Daw Aung San Suu Kyi

Q: What would the situation in Myanmar be like if elections were held?
What would the situation be like if elections were not held?

A: If the election is held without any significant opposition, most of the members of the parties that are friendly to the military will come to the Hluttaw. The Hluttaw will be the one to make/repeale/amend laws. 

The use of funds will also have to be discussed and decided in accordance with the law. A civilian government that includes retired generals will emerge and be declared the De Jure government. But the armed resistance organizations will not stop. They will grow even more.

The new civilian government will have to deal with armed resistance groups. The question is how much they will be able to reduce the military approach and shift to a political approach. How to make the territories participate in the Union again is another question. 

Another thing is that a great failure will emerge if opportunists are included in the government. If elections were not able to be held as planned, the war could be bigger than now. If the political means could not be used, the military means would be focused. 

Except for a dialogue that includes most stakeholders for the sake of the country, there is no other means.

While seeing the SAC Chairman and representatives of political parties

Q: As the last question, some consider that the government that would come to power if elections were held could face more difficult situations. What crises could the government face? What kinds of agreements should there be in advance to prevent such crises?

A: Because the Hluttaw will emerge, legislation and spending will be much slower than now. The government will have to face and overcome criticism and objections. Since there has been no negotiations with the opposition (so far) before the election, the government cannot prepare for a crisis. There is no other option but to face it. 

If the government that will come to power includes self-interested people, it will be in dire distress. I think that the current situation is that they are just trying to completely root out each other.

CNI News
20 July 2025

The Myanmar Tatmadaw overthrew the NLD government on February 1, claiming that the NLD attempted to form a government without solving the vote list dispute that took place in the 2020 general election and declared the state of emergency and has been ruling the country. 

Then, a political crisis emerged and armed revolutions aiming to overthrow the Myanmar Tatmadaw and the SAC have arisen. Due to the political crisis, the establishment of democracy and federalism have been far away.

Therefore, the SAC is planning to hold elections in December 2025 and January 2026, and has said that state power will be handed over to the party that wins the elections. 

CNI News Agency interviewed Sai Nyunt Lwin, chairman of the Shan Nationalities League for Democracy (SNLD), who has decided not to contest the upcoming elections, while urging them to conduct dialogues regarding these situations.

Q: Do you think it is possible to rebuild democracy in Myanmar now?

A: Most organizations have been saying that they will rebuild democracy until now. In reality, it is not easy to predict how it will turn out. Since the rule of law and stability have not yet been established, it must be said that restoring democracy is a distant dream.

Q: How far do you think the federal union that non-Bamar ethnic groups are demanding has been away while democracy is collapsing? What is your opinion on the view that if democracy is not achieved, federalism is also impossible?

A: All the organizations, big and small, involved in the current problems are saying that they will build a federal democratic union. Almost all the opposition organizations are shouting that they will build a federal democratic union. 

The strange thing is that this point is the same between the two groups that are fighting against each other. It's like they're fighting with each other with the same goal. It is true that it is very difficult to establish a federal union without democracy.

Democracy is also related to the rule of law, so it is true that the current situation in Myanmar is very far from restoring a democratic system with the rule of law.

While seeing the Myanmar national flag

Q: Now Myanmar is in a state of collapse and the various groups concerned are not trying to maintain this situation but are only trying to gain power. Meanwhile, what is the way to regain control of the situation by taking the people's support?

A: Our Three Main National Causes in Myanmar: non-disintegration of the Union, non-disintegration of national solidarity, and perpetuation of sovereignty are showing cracks. It can be said that the unity of the local elements has been broken. It is really sad. Each relevant group is only focused on winning the war and gaining power. 

The resentment and hatred between the two sides are also intense. The people are also suffering from various kinds of problems and are struggling with their own problems. I find it difficult to harness the power of the people. So far, there has been no clear person/organization that can harness the power of the people and save the situation again. 

Looking at the current situation, the military approach is leading. The political approach has been left far behind for many years. It is necessary to reduce military means and step up political means.

Looking at the current situation, the military approach is leading. The political approach has been left far behind for many years. We need to work to reduce military power and increase political power. 

In practice, we haven't seen even a hint of improvement in politics. To reform the situation by harnessing the power of the people is not possible through military means, but only through political means. Currently, political means have been dim because it is not allowed to be implemented.

While a peace forum was being held

Q: They are talking about elections as a way out of Myanmar politics to restore democracy and build a federal union. Do you really think that holding elections will restore democracy and federalism? Isn't there any other way than elections?

A: The elections scheduled to be held in December are not a way out for the people. It is difficult to say that the elections are free and fair because the situation has been planned in order that the party that won in the 2020 general election cannot participate. 

If we are going to hold a free and fair election, there needs to be an environment that is conducive to it. I don't think that's the case at the moment. In my opinion, the only way out for the country is through an election that is held in consultation with and agreed upon by the majority of key stakeholders. 

It is said that there have been 43 agreements after the NSPNC discussed with some political parties. But since they are kept secret, how can the public vote based on the “agreements”? It is said that elections should be transparent, right? It is impossible to say that simply holding the upcoming elections successfully will mean that democracy can be restored and a federal union can be built.

It is impossible to say that simply holding the upcoming elections successfully will mean that democracy can be restored and a federal union can be built. Everybody knows it. The only other way, other than elections, is to use political means, namely national reconciliation. 

In a time when war and hatred are so great, those who urge to hold a bilateral dialogue are opposed in the sense that they should be given the death sentence. No one dares to say it. The country suffers and will suffer.

Daw Aung San Suu Kyi

Q: What would the situation in Myanmar be like if elections were held?
What would the situation be like if elections were not held?

A: If the election is held without any significant opposition, most of the members of the parties that are friendly to the military will come to the Hluttaw. The Hluttaw will be the one to make/repeale/amend laws. 

The use of funds will also have to be discussed and decided in accordance with the law. A civilian government that includes retired generals will emerge and be declared the De Jure government. But the armed resistance organizations will not stop. They will grow even more.

The new civilian government will have to deal with armed resistance groups. The question is how much they will be able to reduce the military approach and shift to a political approach. How to make the territories participate in the Union again is another question. 

Another thing is that a great failure will emerge if opportunists are included in the government. If elections were not able to be held as planned, the war could be bigger than now. If the political means could not be used, the military means would be focused. 

Except for a dialogue that includes most stakeholders for the sake of the country, there is no other means.

While seeing the SAC Chairman and representatives of political parties

Q: As the last question, some consider that the government that would come to power if elections were held could face more difficult situations. What crises could the government face? What kinds of agreements should there be in advance to prevent such crises?

A: Because the Hluttaw will emerge, legislation and spending will be much slower than now. The government will have to face and overcome criticism and objections. Since there has been no negotiations with the opposition (so far) before the election, the government cannot prepare for a crisis. There is no other option but to face it. 

If the government that will come to power includes self-interested people, it will be in dire distress. I think that the current situation is that they are just trying to completely root out each other.

CNI News
19 July 2025

A delegation led by Lieutenant General Shrinjay Pratap Singh, Director General of Indian Defense Intelligence Agency and Deputy Chief of Integrated Defense Staff (Intelligence) arrived in Myanmar on July 16, 2025 and the arrival of this delegation to Myanmar is raising questions among military and political observers about how significant it could be.

The Indian intelligence chief met with vice chairman of the SAC, deputy commander in chief of the defense services Vice Senior General Soe Win in Naypyidaw.

During the meeting, they discussed issues related to maintaining peace and stability in the border areas between the two countries, the rule of law, cooperation for security and development, and holding free and fair multi-party democratic general elections in Myanmar, reported the SAC.

The arrival of the Indian intelligence chief could be linked to the attacks in Naga region on the Myanmar side and the two countries could also reach agreements on internal security, Dr. Aye Maung, chairman of the Arakan Front (AFP), told CNI News.

While seeing leader of the ULFA-I who was killed by Indian attack

“The Indian intelligence chief’s visit could be related to cross-border issues, drug trafficking, and elements that could disrupt bilateral relations. The exchange of intelligence findings is a positive step. After 2023, during the fighting in Paletwa Township, Nhonbu Village and Taron Ai Village, many Myanmar Army soldiers crossed the border and sought refuge in India. There are consultations on how to jointly resolve the problems that arise on the border between the two countries. Military affairs related to the border can also be carried out under the diplomatic affairs. It can also be carried out under the bilateral military-to-military coordination. Political individuals from Myanmar might travel to India to live or further study, including on health and business. We heard that according to the Indian Constitution, the border ‌affairs are under the control of the central government. I heard that the Indian central government has full authority over border issues and union matters," he said.

The Indian army conducted drone attacks to the military camps of the ULFA-I fighting against India and of the PLA based near Hoyat Village, Lahe Township, Naga Self-Administered Zone on the Myanmar side on July 13, 2025.

The attack resulted in the deaths of ULFA-I leaders, including Lieutenant General Nayan Aasu (alias Nayan Madi), Brigadier General Lahun (alias Ganesh Aasu), and Colonel Pradish Aasu, along with two comrades.

Following this incident, the Indian intelligence chief arrived in Myanmar on July 16 and met with the SAC Vice Chairman for discussions.

U Thein Tun Oo, director of the Thayninga Institute for Strategy Studies, told CNI News that there could be discussions on security issues between the two countries as Indian projects are located on the Myanmar side.

Paletwa region

“The main thing is that we can avoid unwanted issues through information exchange between the two countries. There are reports that India troops pursued and were attacking its rebels, and that their attacks have crossed into the Naga region on the Myanmar side. In any case, this issue is a matter for direct diplomatic dialogue, especially between senior military officials. There will be more to discuss between the two countries, especially regarding security. When the two countries work together, State actors from the two countries work together. At this time, the AA is not a state actor, but a non-state actor although it has captured many territories. As the Indian projects such as the Kaladan River Project are located on the Myanmar side, it will be necessary to discuss security issues." he said.

India is implementing the Kaladan River project, which would connect Rakhine and Chin states in Myanmar to the Indian state of Mizoram, but it has been halted due to fighting between the AA and the Myanmar Tatmadaw.

Similarly, The India-Myanmar-Thailand Trilateral Highway Project is also set to be implemented, but has not been able to begin due to ongoing fighting between the Myanmar military and the Spring Revolution Forces.

In addition, India is facing a growing number of arms and drug smuggling along the Myanmar-India border, as well as the influx of refugees from Myanmar due to the fighting.

Shan IDPs in Myitkyina need help

CNI News

19 July 2025

Shan ethnic people in the IDP camps in Myitkyina need food, shelter, health and education assistance, the Shan Ethnic IDPs Assistance Committee told CNI News. 

The Shan ethnic IDPs there are mainly needing educational and health assistance, according to an official of the Shan ethnic IDP assistance committee.

While seeing a Shan ethnic IDP camp

“Currently, we have eight monasteries in Shwe Pyitha Ward including  Shan Dhamma Yon (community hall for religious purposes) in Khemathiri Ward,in Myitkyina. We have opened refugee camps for Shan ethnic groups there. In total, there are 11. There are about 4,000 IDPs. There are about 700 households. People from our Shan State have been fleeing battles since July, 2024. Due to the battles between the Myanmar Tatmadaw and the KIA/PDF joint forces, the Shan ethnic IDPs arrived here. Most of them came from Tarlaw, Waingmaw, Bhamo,Inle and Pharkant. They mainly need iron corrugated sheets because it's the rainy season. I want the children of the IDPs to be educated. And they need healthcare as well." he said.

There are more than 100 IDP camps in Myitkyina Township, Kachin State and the Kachin State government said that it could not provide the IDPs with everything they needed, according to the IDPs.

Currently, battles are severely breaking out between the Myanmar Tatmadaw and the KIA/PDF joint forces in Hparkant and Bhamo, Kachin State.

CNI News
19 July 2025

Military and political analysts are analyzing which areas the Myanmar military, which is currently launching offensives to some of the key areas of the lost territories, could prioritize and retake. 

The Myanmar Tatmadaw leaders would have a plan for how to regain control of which areas, and the current trajectory could prioritize border trade routes, Thayninga Institute for Strategy Studies director U Thein Htun Oo told CNI News.

“Based on the current path, reopening border trade along the Pyin Oo Lwin and Lashio routes and later regaining control of some important areas will be part of the ongoing plan. There will be Chinese intervention. China shares a long border with Myanmar. And for trade to resume, stability and peace are essential. So, China has to intervene in the negotiations. It was the same with Thailand in the past. Regardless of who it cooperates with, the Myanmar Tatmadaw must guarantee peace and security within the country. Where will the Tatmadaw start to stabilize? Where will the first, second, and third priorities be? They will be included in the areas that are strategically determined." he said.

The Chinese government is arranging talks between the Northern Alliance and the SAC, as it wants the border to remain peaceful and trade routes to reopen as soon as possible. 

Negotiations between the Kokang Army (MNDAA) and the SAC were convenient, but talks with the Ta’ang National Liberation Army (TNLA) did not go well due to territorial demands, and they are scheduled to meet again in August.

The Myanmar Tatmadaw is currently conducting offensives mainly in the Ta’ang region and Bhamo, and battles could intensify in those areas, Dr. Hla Kyaw Zaw, a China-Myanmar affairs analyst, told CNI News. 

" The military council is launching offensives in Ta'ang region and Bhamo in the northern part of the country. Battles could intensify in these areas. I don't think they (SAC) can advance much in the south.I'm not sure whether they might control some territories around and in the Ta'ang region in the long run. "They have the advantage in airstrikes and weaponry," she said.

The Myanmar Tatmadaw announced that it had retaken control of Naung Cho town in northern Shan State, which had been occupied by the Ta’ang National Liberation Army (TNLA), on July 16, 2025, and that it had retaken control of Mobye town in Kayah State from the KNPP, KNDF, and PDF on July 6, 2025.

Military and political observers point out that the Myanmar Tatmadaw is currently using more air and drone attacks than ground forces in its offensive operations. 

The Myanmar Tatmadaw is launcing a defensive operation to prevent the KIA from taking control of Bhamo. Military and political observers have indicated that the capture of Naung Cho in northern Shan State could pave the way for gradual offensives against Kyaukme, Hsipaw, and Kutkai.

On the other hand, ethnic armed groups (EAOs) and People's  Defense Forces (PDFs) previously succeeded in capturing towns within days, but now have been unable to do so for months. 

Then, their fighting capabilities could decline until they could take years to capture towns, pointed out military and political analysts.

CNI News
19 July 2025

The Legal Aid Network (LAN) pointed out the reasons why the Ta'ang National Liberation Army (TNLA) had to retreat from Naungcho and Taung Kham battles on July 18, 2025.

The reasons why the TNLA had to retreat from Naungcho and Taung Kham battles was (a) because ethnic alliances and PDFs' involvement in fighting with the TNLA  significantly decreased and (b) because the TNLA  designated the territories and towns it and its allies had captured as its own and established administration and invited long-term investments, pointed out the LAN.

In addition, (c) the TNLA did not achieve the effective support of the local people. And (d) the SAC not only used superior strength but also maximized its weapons capabilities.

Therefore, the Legal Aid Network pointed out that if the conditions in (a), (b), and (c) could be changed, adopted, and implemented as soon as possible politically, the condition (d) could be effectively eliminated.

The Myanmar Tatmadaw regained full control of TNLA-controlled Naungcho on July 16, 2025, and is continuing to pressure and attack TNLA-controlled areas such as Kyaukme, Mogok, Mong Ngor, and Hsipaw.

The TNLA has been holding talks with the Myanmar Tatmadaw in order to establish Palaung State after controlling areas such as Nam Kham, Man Tong, Nam San, Kutkai, Thibaw, Kyaukme, Naungcho, Mong Ngor, Namtu, Momeik, Mabein, and Mogok during Operation 1027.

“The TNLA has the right to implementation in order to achieve Palaung State they envision.  In implementing this, it needs to recognize the political rights and historical identities of other ethnic groups. The Ta'ang region is still legally part of Shan State. It is not yet recognized as a separate state. Therefore, the TNLA should consult with the main political and military forces in Shan State regarding the administration of all towns and villages it attacked and has seized (even temporarily),” said the LAN.

Locals say that Chinese businessmen are leaving Mogok, which is currently controlled by the TNLA. Similarly, fighting is also taking place between the Myanmar Tatmadaw and the TNLA in Kyaukme Township.

CNI News

18 July 2025

The Myanmar Tatmadaw which has lost more than 90 towns has been carrying out more offensives since this mid-year, pointed out military and political analysts.

The Myanmar Tatmadaw announced that it had regained control of Naungcho town, which was occupied by the Ta’ang National Liberation Army (TNLA) in northern Shan State, on July 16, 2025, and that it had retaken control of Mobye Town, Kayah State, from the KNPP, KNDF, and PDF on July 6, 2025.

The Myanmar Tatmadaw, which has been in power for more than 70 years and has lost territories, would not retreat easily in military operations, Dr. Hla Kyaw Zaw, an analyst on China-Myanmar affairs, told CNI News. 

" They (the Myanmar Tatmadaw) will try to regain control of the territories that thay have lost. They have many advantages. I don't think they will retreat easily. They have been ruling the country for more than 70 years. In comparison with us (revolutionary forces), they have lots of information and infrastructure. So, they can do it. We have not been fighting the military dictatorship just yesterday. The Spring Revolution has been taking about four or five years. In fact, we have been fighting since 7th July 1962. This time, this struggle is the most severe and it includes the entire public. But it's not easy to finish it quickly as we have expected." she said.

While Lt-Gen Naing Naing Oo had arrived in Naungcho after it had been retaken by the Tatmadaw

With elections set to begin by the end of this year,  the Myanmar Tatmadaw will likely retake lost territories as able as it can before the election, military and political analysts predict. 
They point out that the Myanmar Tatmadaw is currently using more air and drone attacks than ground forces in its offensive operations.

On July 16, the Myanmar Army sent several reinforcements to Naung Cho and retook the town through airstrikes and heavy artillery fire, the Myanmar Tatmadaw announced.

Since the Myanmar military is currently on the right track, it has regained military advantages, U Thein Tun Oo, director of the Thayninga Institute for Strategic Studies, told CNI News. 

While seeing the TNLA

“The Tatmadaw is an organization that guarantees the perpetuation of the country, peace and stability, and all of that, so it will have to restore the country to its original state. Now, the Tatmadaw was carrying out its duties, which were necessary for peace and security. In the past, the military did not engage effectively in military operations, but rather relied more on negotiation and political means. At that time, the revolutionary groups prioritized the military, while the Tatmadaw prioritized politics. So, the Tatmadaw had to lose its camps and territories. But now, the Tatmadaw is using two ways; one is politics and the other, military. It's been on the right track. That's why it's regained military advantages." he said.

Military and political analysts have predicted that because the Tatmadaw could retake control of Naungcho, it could continue its offensive against Kyaukme Town and then continue its offensive against Thibaw Town.

Military and political observers point out that the Myanmar Tatmadaw is currently conducting a defensive operation to prevent the city of Bhamo from falling into the hands of the KIA. 

Ethnic Armed Organizations (EAOs) and People's Defense Forces (PDFs) were previously able to seize towns within days, but later even though they took months to do so, they have not succeed. Military and political analysts point out that the fighting capabilities of EAOs and PDFs may decline until they could take years for their town-seizing battles.

CNI News

18 July 2025

A delegation led by Lieutenant General Shrinjay Pratap Singh, Director General of Indian Defence Intelligence Agency and Deputy Chief of Integrated Defence Staff (Intelligence) met with Vice Chairman of the State Administration Council, Deputy Commander-in-Chief of Defense Services, Vice Senior General Soe Win at the meeting hall of Bayintnaung Villa in Nay Pyi Taw on 16th July.

They then discussed issues of cooperation for peace and stability in the border areas between the two countries, the rule of law, security and development, and the holding of free and fair multi-party democratic general elections in Myanmar.

The Indian intelligence chief arrived in Myanmar on July 13, 2025, following the Indian drone bombing of ULFA-I camps in the Naga Self-Administered Zone in Sagaing Region.

The attack resulted in the deaths of ULFA-I leaders, Lieutenant General Nayan Aasu (alias Nayan Madi), Brigadier General Lahun (alias Ganesh Aasu), and Colonel Pradish Aasu, along with two comrades. Therefore, ULFA-I announced on July 13, 2025 that it would retaliate against India.

The meeting between the Indian intelligence chief and SAC Vice Chairman Vice Senior General Soe Win was also attended by the SAC Joint Secretary and Chief of Military Security Affairs  Lt. Gen. Ye Win Oo

CNI News
17 July 2025

Town-seizing battles by ethnic armed groups and democratic armed groups lasted a few days only, now the battles have lasted until years, so the capability of these groups has declined, said U Than Soe Naing, a political commentator.

He  said the above in an exclusive interview with Burma News Network.

“In the past, our revolutionary groups were able to capture a camp in a week or 10 days. Now it takes months. Now that we possibly have to take years, it is very clear how slow our offensive speed has become. Now, it takes about 6 months to capture an important military base. That's not certain either. It hasn't been certain to be able to capture Kyaukphyu and Sittwe as well as Bhamo and Myitkyina. Meanwhile, Chin armed groups are also fighting each other due to differences of opinion among themselves. Apart from the Karen group's movement, the revolutionary struggle of ethnic groups across the country also seems to be stagnant. The situation of armed groups in the plains gets worse." said U Than Soe Naing.

Ethnic armed groups and pro-democracy forces have claimed to have captured more than 90 cities in Myanmar, but the Myanmar Tatmadaw is waging counter offensives now and gradually retaking them. The Myanmar Tatmadaw has captured Mobye Township in Kayah State and Naungcho Township in northern Shan State this month.

When the Tatmadaw has captured Mobye Town

Then, the Myanmar Tatmadaw is trying to capture Kyaukme, Hsipaw, and Theinni in northern Shan State, and is also trying to retake Thabeikkyin Township in Mandalay Region.

Amidst these situations, opposition individuals lash out at and demand the NUG, the PDF and the People's Administrative Groups to reform.

The Arakan Army (AA) has also failed to seize Kyaukphyu and Sittwe in Rakhine State. Similarly, the Kachin Independence Army (KIA) has also been unsuccessful in its offensives to capture Bhamo in Kachin State as well as Homalin and Banmauk in Sagaing Region.

On the other hand, the SAC is preparing to hold elections in 267 townships.

While seeing the SAC Chairman and political parties

U Than Soe Naing said, “If we can't launch a general offensive that can capture Naypyidaw before this election, there is a possibility that the military council will achieve the legitimacy after collaborating with international reactionary elements."

The SAC will hold elections in phases in December 2025 and January 2026, and state power would be handed over to the party that wins the election, said the SAC Chairman Senior General Min Aung Hlaing.