CNI News

April 1, 2026

Rakhine politicians and political analysts are pointing out how the rehabilitation of Rakhine State—where the socio-economic status has declined due to war—should be carried out under the new government that will emerge in Myanmar this coming April.

Following the resurgence of fighting between the Arakkha Army (AA) and the Myanmar Military in 2022, the AA now controls 14 out of the 17 townships in Rakhine State. The Myanmar Military (Tatmadaw) retains control only over Sittwe, Kyaukphyu, and Manaung townships.

As a result of the conflict, hundreds of thousands of people have become internally displaced (IDPs). The region is facing a breakdown in the rule of law with rising incidents of theft and looting, the cessation of agriculture and trade, mass displacement, and a total collapse of healthcare services.

Rakhine State Hluttaw (Parliament) representatives are urging the Rakhine State Government to transparently present the rehabilitation plans for the Buthidaung, Maungdaw, and Rathedaung regions to the state parliament.

Dr. Aye Maung, Chairman of the Arakan Front Party (AFP), told CNI News that it is necessary to monitor the extent of the new government's administrative reach during the upcoming rehabilitation period.

A map showing territorial control during the war in Rakhine State

"Rehabilitation will depend on the battlefield situation in the Rakhine region. The State Government currently administers only three townships. We must see which sectors the Union Government will allocate for reconstruction. How much administrative territory will the government actually hold in the coming term? This is linked to both military and political factors.

Reports suggest intense military conflict in four townships in southern Rakhine. Another necessity is the repatriation of Muslims who fled to the neighboring country from Buthidaung, Maungdaw, and Rathedaung. Questions remain on how the State and Union governments will handle this based on the evolving political and military landscape.

Currently, security measures are focused on the three controlled townships. Due to the lack of peace, villages surrounding Sittwe have been demolished or relocated as needed, leaving villagers taking refuge in about 54 or 55 monasteries as displaced persons. A similar situation likely exists in Kyaukphyu."

Dr. Aye Maung further stated that a military resolution and government support are essential for stability and rehabilitation. He noted that the parliament might urge both sides to meet and seek a solution through dialogue to achieve peace, which is the primary requirement for people to return to their original homes.

Senior General Min Aung Hlaing during Cyclone Mocha rehabilitation efforts in Rakhine State

Dr. Aung Myo, a political analyst, told CNI News that the first priorities for rehabilitation should be electricity and the establishment of factories to create jobs.

"The first step for rehabilitation is getting electricity in Rakhine and establishing factories, specifically to create employment. There are also Bengalis there; they cannot be ignored for humanitarian reasons. Labor-intensive garment factories are needed.

Other factors come later. Security is the first priority; in any country, military operations come first. Without it, nothing can be done. Efforts must first be made to regain lost territories. Rakhine is far from the mainland, and its ports do not have established trade flows with the mainland. Currently, the focus is on military operations. It seems Rakhine might have the lowest priority in the overall rehabilitation process. Rehabilitation will come gradually. The main priority now is to improve transportation—primarily air and sea routes—to the three townships currently controlled by the military: Kyaukphyu, Sittwe, and Manaung."

Currently, the AA is launching attacks to seize control of the three remaining townships—Sittwe, Kyaukphyu, and Manaung—held by the Myanmar Military.

Rakhine State is facing a "double burden" of destruction: the conflict that reignited in 2022 and the aftermath of Cyclone Mocha, which struck in May 2023.

CNI News

April 1, 2026

Colonel Khun Okkar, Chairman of the Pa-O National Liberation Organization (PNLO-NCA/S), told CNI News that the Chinese government does not have full confidence in the Kachin Independence Army (KIA).

Military and political analysts suggest that a primary reason for China's lack of full trust is the KIA’s perceived closeness to Western nations—specifically the United States—not only historically but also through religious ties.

Observers point out that while the United Wa State Army (UWSA) strictly follows China’s lead and is more inclined to protect Chinese interests, the KIA maintains a stronger sense of independence and occasionally rejects pressure from Beijing.

Despite this lack of full trust, Colonel Khun Okkar noted that China must still attempt to maintain a good relationship with the KIA due to current circumstances.

Members of the KIA.

"Historically, the KIA has maintained good communication channels with the United States, so China does not trust them fully. They even view it as a potential interference. However, as neighbors, China has to try and keep a good relationship with the KIA. We have always said that if there is peace with the Kachin in the north and the Karen in the south, our country will be at peace. Therefore, if the Kachin and Karen are primarily involved in the peace process, other ethnic groups will likely follow," said Colonel Khun Okkar.

Because KIA territory borders China, the group inevitably relies on China for economic, social, and medical supplies. Conversely, China relies on the KIA, which currently dominates the region, for access to rare earth minerals and other natural resources.

Analysts describe the relationship between the KIA and China as "neither friend nor foe." Even though the KIA knows China disapproves, they have not severed ties with Western countries or international organizations. They consistently keep other international channels and support open to avoid becoming solely dependent on China.

A political analyst told CNI News that if the KIA wants to avoid resentment from China, they would need to distance themselves from the Western bloc.

KIA leader Lieutenant General Gun Maw and former Chinese Special Envoy Mr. Sun Guoxiang

"If they want to avoid China's resentment, they have to stay clear of the West. Once trust is built, China would likely treat them like the Three Brotherhood Alliance—offering help for regional autonomy while warning them not to harm Chinese interests and not to topple the central government. China will keep them in a balanced position (neither 'killing the snake nor breaking the stick'). Since the KIA receives aid from them, they wouldn't dare act recklessly against Chinese interests. China will likely pressure them not to cooperate with the NUG-led PDF forces in Sagaing and lower regions to topple the military government. China will say, 'We will help with what you need; if you sell rare earth minerals, sell them only to us.' They won't go as far as letting the central government or the military collapse; they are balancing both sides," the analyst said.

In March, a KIA delegation met with a Chinese special envoy in Yunnan Province. It is reported that China emphasized border stability and pressured the KIA to reduce its military operations. While China urged the KIA to engage in talks with the military, the KIA reportedly responded that it would be difficult to accept immediately given the current political climate.

Military and political analysts also pointed out that the KIA is attempting to establish a "liberated zone" across Northwest Myanmar—connecting Sagaing, Rakhine State, Chin State, and Kachin State. China remains concerned about this movement, believing there is Western backing behind the KIA's efforts in the Northwest.

CNI News

31 March 2026

As Myanmar grapples with intense armed conflicts, political crises, and economic instability, everyone is asking and watching closely: what kind of government is needed to rebuild the country?

Dr. Aye Maung, Chairman of the Arakan Front Party (AFP), told CNI News that the government emerging after the current elections—both at the union and regional levels—must be one capable of building national unity and leading national reconciliation.

He stated: "We need a government—both at the center and regional governments—that emerge post-election and focus on national unity and reconciliation to end 80 years of internal conflict. For the next five years, the union and regional governments must lead this reconciliation process. Within the 'Three Main National Causes,' the non-disintegration of national solidarity is key. If we can achieve national reconciliation, stability and peace will follow.

Representatives from the Tatmadaw, armed groups, peace facilitators, and Thai Embassy officials

The current rise in theft and robbery is an exploitation of internal instability and the lack of rule of law—it’s a case of 'wildcats gloating while the forest burns.' We need state and regional governments that can work strenuously on the rule of law with public participation. On our part, we must cooperate to ensure their duties are successful."

Myanmar’s civil war began in March 1948, just months after gaining independence on January 4, and has now lasted over 70 years. Military and political observers point out that there are currently around 4 million internally displaced persons (IDPs), while homes, religious buildings, schools, and bridges have been destroyed. Furthermore, the economy is declining, the rule of law is weakening, arms and drug trafficking are flourishing, and the agricultural and commercial sectors are suffering significant losses.

Pyithu Hluttaw representative U Hla Swe told CNI News that a government capable of stabilizing the current situation is essential.

Senior General Min Aung Hlaing and state leaders

He said: "We need a government that can keep this situation stable. Currently, there are insurgencies and unrest; these must be controlled. We must work to improve economic development. If competitive systems emerge democratically according to a market economy, prices will drop. Lowering commodity prices is vital. We have experience, and experienced elders will continue to take responsibility. Today, the Pyithu Hluttaw chose Senior General Min Aung Hlaing as a Vice-Presidential candidate, so there is a high percentage that he will become President. If he continues, the country will become more stable."

Members of the public have pointed out the need for a strong new government that is free from corruption, prioritizes the public interest, and is based on a federal democratic system and national reconciliation to end the long era of dictatorship.

Furthermore, the public emphasizes that for national reform, a government that prioritizes transparency and the rule of law is necessary.

CNI News

March 31, 2026

Political analyst U Htet Aung Kyaw told CNI News that when the government handles the ongoing fuel crisis in Myanmar, it needs to implement solutions that ensure the convenience and relief of the general public.

He noted that relevant authorities should carefully weigh their decisions to avoid placing an undue burden on citizens while managing the fuel shortage. He emphasized the need to choose methods that offer maximum relief to the people.

U Htet Aung Kyaw stated: "Since this is a global impact, Myanmar is naturally affected as well. When resolving the resulting problems, it is best to consider how to ease the burden on the public so they don't feel overwhelmed. If the reasons behind these actions are communicated clearly, the public won't have cause for resentment. It would be ideal to manage this in a way that makes people feel, 'Even amidst a global crisis, they are striving to make things work for us.'"

On March 3, 2026, the National Defence and Security Council (NDSC) issued an announcement mandating an "Odd/Even" license plate system for cars and motorcycles to conserve fuel, effective from March 7, 2026.

Authorities checking the Odd/Even license plate compliance.

Members of the public have pointed out that this Odd/Even restriction has created significant difficulties on the ground, directly impacting the manufacturing sector, the hotel and tourism industry, and the overall socio-economic landscape. Consequently, they are calling on the government to consider solutions that prioritize public relief.

However, political analyst Dr. Aung Myo told CNI News that since the government is handling the fuel difficulties to the best of its ability, the public needs to remain patient and understanding amidst these challenges.

A fuel filling station.

He said: "This isn't happening because of the government. In a situation affecting the entire world, people just have to be patient. We shouldn't accept it if people use this as an excuse simply because they already dislike the government. No matter which government were in power, no one could do better than this in the current climate. Therefore, the public needs to be understanding and patient with the government. We have to look at it that way. The government is doing what it can; for instance, they’ve even directed that offices stay closed on Wednesdays. We can see they are trying."

Since the implementation of the Odd/Even fuel-saving measures, private office workers and parents of students have faced significant hurdles. Furthermore, business travelers and those who commute daily have reported major disruptions. Tourism entrepreneurs and the general public are vocally expressing concerns that the travel industry is being severely impacted by these restrictions.

CNI News

March 31, 2026

Political analyst Dr. An Kaw La told CNI News that the State will have to put in an immense effort if it intends to resolve the conflict with the Arakan Army (AA) through military means.

According to the current situation, Ayeyarwady Region, western Bago Region, and western Magway Region are areas connected to the AA's influence. Dr. An Kaw La noted that military columns are active in these regions, including Rakhine, and in this landscape, the Pathein-Monywa Highway has become strategically vital.

He stated: "There are two political goals at play: a Sovereign State and a Sub-autonomy State. A Sovereign State model is like when the IRA (Irish Republican Army) attacked Belfast in Northern Ireland to negotiate politically with Britain—that was Northern Ireland implementing a Sovereign State goal. Others are autonomous states, like the Mindanao issue in the Philippines or the eight northeastern states of India; those are examples of implementing autonomous states as political results in peace processes.

Currently, the AA is conducting operations in the capital, Sittwe, and the vital town of Kyaukphyu. Furthermore, they are attacking areas near the KaPaSa (Defense Industry) factories in western Bago and western Magway. There are also military columns pushed as far as Pathein in Ayeyarwady. Looking at this, we see the AA’s declared political goal—a Sovereign State-style goal moving toward a Confederation. Therefore, we observe that the State will have to strive tremendously to resolve this political conflict via military means."

A junction somewhere in Rakhine State.

Following a ceasefire in November 2022, fighting between the Arakan Army and the Myanmar Military resumed in November 2023 and continues to this day.

Amidst these battles, the AA now controls most townships in Rakhine State, including Paletwa, with the exception of three towns: Sittwe, Kyaukphyu, and Manaung.

Currently, the AA operates independently within Rakhine State while also functioning as a member of the Brotherhood Alliance in northern Shan State. Additionally, they are conducting joint military operations with Kachin and Chin armed groups, as well as expanding their military reach alongside "Spring Revolution" forces.

U Myo Kyaw, spokesperson for the United Nationalities Alliance (UNA), told CNI News that regardless of the military trajectory between the AA and the Myanmar Military, a political agreement must eventually be reached at the negotiating table, and demands will be determined by military advantage.

AA Leader General Tun Myat Naing.

He said: "The enemy has always tried to resolve this. It didn't just start in 2026; they’ve tried to resolve it since the beginning. But the situation has gradually reached this point. They will try to resolve it, but whether it is easy or not depends on the actual occurrences across the entire country and how all these wars are interconnected. No matter how much things move militarily, one day an agreement must be sought at a political table. However, if one has the military upper hand, they can speak firmly and decide their demands at the table. To put it simply, an agreement is often decided in a way that favors the victors."

General Twan Mrat Naing(Tun Myat Naing), Commander-in-Chief of the Arakan Army (AA), has previously declared that the Rakhine people will fight to achieve a status no lower than a Confederation.

On the other hand, sources close to the matter stated that the AA has accepted a proposal from China to hold peace talks with the government following a meeting between the AA and Chinese Special Envoy Deng Xijun in China.

CNI News

March 31, 2026

Political analyst Dr. An Kaw La told CNI News that the State will have to put in an immense effort if it intends to resolve the conflict with the Arakan Army (AA) through military means.

According to the current situation, Ayeyarwady Region, western Bago Region, and western Magway Region are areas connected to the AA's influence. Dr. An Kaw La noted that military columns are active in these regions, including Rakhine, and in this landscape, the Pathein-Monywa Highway has become strategically vital.

He stated: "There are two political goals at play: a Sovereign State and a Sub-autonomy State. A Sovereign State model is like when the IRA (Irish Republican Army) attacked Belfast in Northern Ireland to negotiate politically with Britain—that was Northern Ireland implementing a Sovereign State goal. Others are autonomous states, like the Mindanao issue in the Philippines or the eight northeastern states of India; those are examples of implementing autonomous states as political results in peace processes.

Currently, the AA is conducting operations in the capital, Sittwe, and the vital town of Kyaukphyu. Furthermore, they are attacking areas near the KaPaSa (Defense Industry) factories in western Bago and western Magway. There are also military columns pushed as far as Pathein in Ayeyarwady. Looking at this, we see the AA’s declared political goal—a Sovereign State-style goal moving toward a Confederation. Therefore, we observe that the State will have to strive tremendously to resolve this political conflict via military means."

A junction somewhere in Rakhine State.

Following a ceasefire in November 2022, fighting between the Arakan Army and the Myanmar Military resumed in November 2023 and continues to this day.

Amidst these battles, the AA now controls most townships in Rakhine State, including Paletwa, with the exception of three towns: Sittwe, Kyaukphyu, and Manaung.

Currently, the AA operates independently within Rakhine State while also functioning as a member of the Brotherhood Alliance in northern Shan State. Additionally, they are conducting joint military operations with Kachin and Chin armed groups, as well as expanding their military reach alongside "Spring Revolution" forces.

U Myo Kyaw, spokesperson for the United Nationalities Alliance (UNA), told CNI News that regardless of the military trajectory between the AA and the Myanmar Military, a political agreement must eventually be reached at the negotiating table, and demands will be determined by military advantage.

AA Leader General Tun Myat Naing.

He said: "The enemy has always tried to resolve this. It didn't just start in 2026; they’ve tried to resolve it since the beginning. But the situation has gradually reached this point. They will try to resolve it, but whether it is easy or not depends on the actual occurrences across the entire country and how all these wars are interconnected. No matter how much things move militarily, one day an agreement must be sought at a political table. However, if one has the military upper hand, they can speak firmly and decide their demands at the table. To put it simply, an agreement is often decided in a way that favors the victors."

General Twan Mrat Naing(Tun Myat Naing), Commander-in-Chief of the Arakan Army (AA), has previously declared that the Rakhine people will fight to achieve a status no lower than a Confederation.

On the other hand, sources close to the matter stated that the AA has accepted a proposal from China to hold peace talks with the government following a meeting between the AA and Chinese Special Envoy Deng Xijun in China.

CNI News 

March 31, 2026

During the second day of the Pyithu Hluttaw (House of Representatives) group meeting held today (March 31), Senior General Min Aung Hlaing was elected as Vice President after receiving the majority of votes.

Out of the 280 representatives eligible to vote in the Pyithu Hluttaw, 260 attended the session today; therefore, the total number of votes cast was 260.
Of those 260 total votes:

•    Senior General Min Aung Hlaing received 247 votes.

•    Dr. Kyaw Swe from the National Unity Party (NUP) received 10 votes.

•    There were 3 invalid votes.

According to the Constitution, three Vice Presidential candidates must initially be nominated. The candidate with the most votes will become the President, the runner-up will become Vice President (1), and the candidate with the fewest votes will become Vice President (2).

In the parliamentary session held on March 30, 2026, the Union Solidarity and Development Party (USDP) nominated Senior General Min Aung Hlaing as a Vice Presidential candidate, while the National Unity Party (NUP) nominated Dr. Kyaw Swe.

CNI News
March 2026

Vice-Senior General Soe Win officially handed over the position of Deputy Commander-in-Chief of the Myanmar Armed Forces to General Kyaw Swar Lin, the current Coordinator of Special Operations (Army, Navy, and Air), on March 30, 2026.

The ceremony was held at the Zeyathiri Beikman in Nay Pyi Taw.

CNI News

March 30, 2026

The responsibility of the Commander-in-Chief of the Myanmar Armed Forces (Tatmadaw) was transferred from Senior General Min Aung Hlaing to General Ye Win Oo, Commander-in-Chief (Army).

The handover ceremony took place on March 30, 2026, at the Zeyathiri Beikman in Nay Pyi Taw.

Following the transfer, Senior General Min Aung Hlaing urged the new generation of military leaders to strive in unity to fulfill the Tatmadaw's duties under the leadership of Commander-in-Chief General Ye Win Oo and the Deputy Commander-in-Chief.

The new Commander-in-Chief, General Ye Win Oo, stated On Modernization: "During the 15-year tenure of the current Commander-in-Chief, the process of building a modern 'Standard Army' was systematically implemented. I will continue to strive toward building a modern Tatmadaw with the combat capability and power to wage conventional warfare."

On National Policy: He noted that the Tatmadaw has historically embraced "Our Three Main National Causes" as a national duty. He committed to continuing the protection and preservation of these interests, as well as the State Constitution.

On Constitutional Duties: "I will faithfully and fully execute the duties mandated by the Constitution: to protect the Constitution; to safeguard non-disintegration of the Union, non-disintegration of national solidarity, and perpetuation of sovereignty; and to protect a genuine and disciplined multi-party democratic system."

On Governance and Peace: "Under the leadership of the State Government, I will carry out duties to ensure national development and the continued path toward democracy, which is the desire of the entire people. I will cooperate fully with the State Government in building internal peace."

On Military Conduct: He pledged to follow the motto "Study, Train, Comply" established by Senior General Min Aung Hlaing. He also emphasized the policy of "The People are the Mother, The People are the Father," aiming for unity between the military and the public.

On Civil-Military Relations: He stated he would implement the best organizational measures, both internally and externally, to improve civil-military relations.

On Legacy: "I will strictly follow the urge to 'preserve the noble heritage passed down by successive far-sighted leaders and continue to elevate the prestige of the Tatmadaw and the Nation.' I want to emphasize that I will continue to maintain the Tatmadaw's fine historical traditions to ensure it remains a force the State can rely on and the people can depend on."