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CNI News
5 August 2022
The SAC’s statement said Mr.Toru Kubota, who communicated with the participants in the pro-democracy protests and appointed the place to protest, is being detained and charged. He has been charged under immigration law 13-1, visa violation and 505(a) according to the SAC’s statement.
Japanese citizen Mr. Toru Kubota arrived in Yangon from Thailand on July 1st with a tourist visa. It is known that on the evening of July 30th, he was arrested while recording the protest where more than 10 people participated near City Mart, South Dagon, with phone and camera.
Demanding the release of Toru Kubota, a Japanese citizen who has been arrested (AFP)
It is described that if someone committed any crime in Section 13-1 (which Japanese citizen Toru Kubota is charged with), a minimum sentence of six months to a maximum of five years in prison can be imposed, and according to the penal code 505(a) of defaming the state, that person can be charged with imprisonment up to two years or any kind of fine or both punishments can be imposed.
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5 August 2022
As successive governments promised to give priority to agriculture but failed to do so effectively, they were indifferent to the SAC chairman’s promise to promote agriculture, farmers told the CNI.
In his speech on 1st August, the SAC chairman said that priority would be given to agriculture and livestock breeding and utmost efforts were being exerted to provide farmers with fertilizers, pesticides and irrigation water.
U Ko Ko Lay, a farmer from Kyaukpadaung, told the CNI, “We do not expect anything from the government because priority has been given to agriculture for eons but only those who were well connected with government departments could enjoy benefits. The assistance has never reached the lowest levels. Even when they did reach us, they were just trying to attract the media attention. It is also very difficult to help all farmers effectively. At present, farmers are encountering various problems including lack of income and it will be more difficult to help farmers effectively. So, we do not expect anything from the government.”
A cattle breeding farm.
To effectively help farmers, it was important to take measures to lower the skyrocketing prices of agricultural inputs, Ko Sithu, a farmer from Ayeyarwady Region, told the CNI.
Ko Sithu said, “It is only possible when market exchange rates of US$ against MMK fall. As long as the market exchange rates continue to rise, farmers will suffer the impacts. When we sell our produce, we are paid much lower than prevailing prices before the harvest. Everything rests on the market US$ exchange rate against MMK. As long as the US$ exchange rates rise against MMK, the prices of fuel, fertilizers and pesticides will rise.”
Currently, farmers had to use natural fertilizers like cattle manure instead of chemical fertilizers. Therefore, they had to use about 60 bags of natural fertilizers for a farm plot where they needed three bags of chemical fertilizers previously.
Farmers irrigate their farms.
It cost about MMK 300,000 to buy three bags of chemical fertilizer while 60 bags of natural fertilizers were available at MMK 150,000.
Therefore, it would be a viable alternative for the government to help farmers produce natural fertilizers, U Ko Ko Lay, the farmer from Kyaukpadaung, said.
However, it was difficult for some farmers, who had to rely on chemical fertilizers enormously, to use natural fertilizers immediately and would have to take time to adopt a new practice, U Aung Kyaw Mya, a Rakhine farmer, told the CNI.
Although there were irrigation facilities in Rakhine State, farmers there had to rely on seasonal rains but the state was undergoing droughts recently and needed irrigation water supply for agriculture, he added.
U Aung Kyaw Mya told the CNI, “It can be said that Rakhine State is divided into the northern and southern parts. Fresh water is available in the northern part but that is not the case in the southern part. As the coastal areas and inland areas are divided by mountain ranges, we can even grow the second crops there. If the government really wants to help and measures will be taken to supply irrigation water to our farms, we can even grow the second crops. There are about 1.2 million acres of farmland in the state. If the government can really help, our incomes will increase twice as much as usual and our living standards will be higher.”
The SAC chairman said in his speech on 1st August that MMK 400 billion out of MMK 491 billion set aside for the national natural disaster management would be allocated for funds for agro-based businesses.
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5 August, 2022
Democratic Karen Army (DKB A) and Karen National Union (KNU) leaders deliberated and reached an agreement to handle the case of the Kow Thuy Air Army (KTLA), which was formed by General Saw Nadal Mya after breaking away from KNDO and to reunify the two Karen armed groups (DKBA – KNU).
After the meeting of DKBA and KNU leaders on August 3, 2022 emerged 5 consensus points.
A person in close acquaintance with DKBA and KNU said, “Those 5 agreements are true. The regional stability and finding a way to prevent wars are our main concerns. This is our preparation to build the one and only federal army in the future federal era. That (the case of the formation of the Koru Army) will be discussed and negotiated in their in-person meeting.”
The five points that DKBA and KNU leaders met and agreed upon are:
1. DKBA Chief of Staff General Steele and KNU Lt. Col. Nel Dar Htoo are to shoulder the responsibility regarding the KTLA issue.
2. DKBA and KNU have verbally agreed to reunification. In the meantime, a temporary brand that symbolizes the union of the grassroots forces will be coordinated and installed.
3. Then, as number three, the two sides have agreed and decided to meet once a month if possible.
4. It is agreed to cancel the 1/94 statement issued by the KNU center for the DKBA.
5. In order to put an end to the ongoing enemy strike, the DKBA Chief of Staff General Steele is to take charge and enter into negotiation with SAC. If they do not agree to a negotiation and put up an attack with a large force, it is agreed to join forces altogether to proceed with the matter.
Statement of DKBA
“It (1/94) was proposed by DKBA and 1/94 was the organization that KNU broke away from, a motion to withdraw the letter designated as an enemy organization. If it is not withdrawn, there will be inevitable friction between DKBA and KNU. That’s why they agreed,” said a person familiar with DKBA and KNU.
Among the five points agreed upon by DKBA and KNU leaders during the meeting, the last decision number 5 is absolutely inconsistent with the attitude of our Democratic Karen Army (DKBA), stated with DKBA’s Chief of Staff, General Saw Steele’s signature today (August 4th).
To the DKBA and KNU meeting on August 3rd, the DKBA Chief of Staff, General Steel (Saw Steel), Operation Commander Colonel San Aung, Headquarters Commander Brigadier General Shwewa, Chief of Staff, Colonel Vernyu, Command: 1 Brigadier General Sai Kyaw Hla; Headquarters G2 Major Samin, and Commander-in-Chief Colonel Sein Win attended.
Then, on the KNU side, Colonel Ro Yae Khin, in charge of the Defense Department, General Secretary Captain Padotado General Johnny, Chief of Staff So Bo Boe village head, Captain Thopa, Commander of the 7th Brigade
Brigadier General Ford Battalion Commander Lt. Col. Nadal Htoo, and Captain Mugay, the company commander, reportedly attended.
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4 August 2022
If the recent visit of Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov had aimed not to promote economic cooperation but to enhance arm deals, peace would be more elusive in Myanmar, Writer U Htet Myet told the CNI.
The Russian foreign minister visited Myanmar on a day return trip on 3rd August and met with SAC Chairman Senior General Min Aung Hlaing and Foreign Minister U Wunna Maung Lwin.
U Htet Myet said that he would welcome Lavrov if he had visited Myanmar for economic cooperation and oil deals but it would be unacceptable if he had come to Myanmar to sell weapons during public security disasters amid the ongoing armed conflicts.
U Htet Myet told the CNI, “If they had come to Myanmar to offer assistance, we would have to thank them. However, it would be unacceptable if they had visited Myanmar to sell weapons and to perpetuate the armed conflicts. I have to say this because we want to restore peace and build a peaceful and prosperous country. So, it is necessary to restore peace out of integrity and goodwill and to take a correct democratic path.”
Writer Htet Myet
The Russian foreign minister held discussions with his Myanmar counterpart on promotion of bilateral relations, cooperation in economic and culture sectors and close coordination with the Eurasian Economic Union and the United Nations, according to the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Myanmar.
However, Political Analyst Dr. Aung Myo told the CNI, “It was unlikely that the Russia foreign minister visited Myanmar for massive investment and arm deals would surely be discussed during the trip.
Dr. Aung Myo said, “Russia is the only source of high tech weapons for the SAC and we could have expected that they would surely discuss arm deals.”
After holding discussions with the SAC chairman and his Myanmar counterpart, the Russian foreign minister proceeded to the ASEAN Foreign Ministers’ Meeting in Phnom Penh, Cambodia.
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4 August 2022
The Ministry of Foreign Affairs of the SAC issued a statement on 3rd August, saying it opposed the US House Speaker Nancy Pelosi’s Taiwan trip, which caused instabilities in the region.
The statement says, “Myanmar is deeply concerned by the visit of Ms. Nancy Pelosi, Speaker of the House of Representatives of the United States of America to Taiwan (Chinese-Taipei) which is causing escalation of tensions on the Taiwan Straits.
The SAC statement also says, “Myanmar opposes any provocative actions causing instabilities in the region and attempts that aim to interfere in the internal affairs of other states.”
Therefore, Myanmar calls all concerned parties to deescalate the tensions through constructive dialogue and peaceful negotiation for peace and stability across the Taiwan Straits.
Nancy Pelosi and Taiwan President Tsai Ing Wen in Taiwan. (AFP)
Myanmar fully supports the ‘One China Policy’ and reaffirms that Taiwan is an integral part of the People's Republic of China.”
As Myanmar has adopted the non-aligned foreign policy, the statement over the Taiwan trip of Nancy Pelosi raised questions, some political observers said.
US House Speaker Nancy Pelosi visited Taiwan island on 2nd August and held discussions with Taiwanese President Tsai Ing Wen.
China strongly rejected the trip and announced that it would conduct military exercises until 7th August.
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4 August, 2022
According to Myanmar highway cargo operators, highway freight operations have hit a snag due to scarcity of goods and low productivity.
“The rainy season is a time when goods are scarce, but this year has made it worse,” said the Chairman of the Association of Myanmar Highway Fright Transport Service Entrepreneurs, U Kyin Thein, to CNI news agency.
U Kyin Thein said, “Last year was a period of goods scarcity but this year’s record is even less than last year’s. Indeed, the goods are in short supply during the rainy season but it is in a shorter supply than the last year. Productivity decreased. Productivity decreases due to scarcity of raw materials. Merchants also have less business. We also face a business decline in transportation since merchant trade and productivity of goods decrease.
Moreover, the business owners said that the goods are becoming scarce due to changes in the export/import policy in the export/import industry.
A freight car carrying watermelons (AFP)
Due to the scarcity of these goods, the current highway freight businesses are at a standstill of up to 70 percent, said a highway goods entrepreneur.
He said, "Goods are scarce, both Export and Import are low. The scarcity of goods means less export and import. Another thing is that construction materials are also in a stagnant state, for example, cement pulling, stone pulling, and sand pulling. All those things are at a standstill. That is why car-related jobs are falling into a decline and about 70 percent are now facing a complete stagnation.”
At present, highway freight transport companies are facing a shortage of goods during the rainy season. However, when the in-season time comes, the abundance of crops certainly revives the productivity of businesses.
“However, there has been no relaxation of export/import policy restrictions and if the situation continues, the goods may continue to be scarce in the next open season” said
a freight forwarder to CNI news agency.
While loading cargo at a Thai-Myanmar border trade station (GETTY IMAGES)
He said, "Even if the open season comes, it will depend on the export and import situation. The business usually picks up in the open season.”
“Despite this year’s open season, the low supply of export and import will undoubtedly entail a scarcity of goods. I figured it would continue this way,” he said.
Highway freight operations currently include kitchen appliances, and fruits
We are only exporting goods that are parcel items. Goods such as beans, corn, sesame and rice which are not only crops but also exported goods are now reportedly in low supply.
In addition, a policy in some areas which stipulates electronic devices, wire chords, and oil must be transported only with a certificated of approval by the respective Minister of Lands, subsequently leads to a short supply goods and an economic decline due to this difficulty in transportation.
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4 August, 2022
Khaing Paulin, a member of the Central Executive Committee of the Arakan Liberation Party (ALP) was reportedly captured by Rakhine Army (ULA/AA) according to the announcement published in August 3rd.
ALP’s report mentions that ULA/AA arrested Lt. Col. Khaing Paulin in his home on August 2, an arrest involving an Eighth grade student, Maung Soe Min Naing alongside him.
However, it was not mentioned in which region the arrests were made.
The ALP said, "This process has undermined Rakhine national unity and our party views it as an event that should never happen between the Rakhine Revolutionary Organizations.
Announcement of ALP (ALP-fb)
The ULA/AA team also voiced that some leaders of their party as well as their comrades who were arrested in the past still have not been released until today.”
ALP then issued a statement saying to abstain from all actions that attempt to corrupt the sanctity of national unity since ALP/ALA and ULA/AA are of one nation, marching in unity to the same goal. The ALP then strongly demanded the release of the previously arrested party leaders and party comrades including Lt. Col. Khaing Paulin and Eighth grade student Maung Soe Min Naing.
ALP is an Arakan armed group which has signed the Nationwide Ceasefire Agreement (NCA) whereas AA is the one that only has had negotiations but has not entered into the NCA yet.
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4 August 2022
Victory of the ongoing Spring Revolution was sure for them who were brave for the truth, Prime Minister of the National Unity Government Mahn Win Khaing Than said.
He said at the 62nd Meeting of the NUG that the people of Myanmar not only were brave but also showed their perseverance for 17 months of the revolution.
The NUG prime minister said, “Only the just will win victory, which is sure for us, who are brave for the truth. Our people not only are brave but also showed their perseverance for 17 months. It is the bravery, perseverance and morale of the people that meet the criteria. As we have fought but for the firm conviction that we will never back to the military slavery based on the self-worth without any assistance from other countries since the beginning of the revolution, we can now assess the level of the revolution by looking at the serious deterioration of morale on the side of the junta.”
Protestors staging demonstrations by holding placards that read “The military must never be allowed to rule the country.” (ISP-fb)
After the ouster of the civilian government by the military on 1st February, 2021, the NUG started the armed struggle along with the protest movement against the military.
Political Analyst U Than Soe Naing told the CNI that the resistance forces of the Spring Revolution had controlled 48 percent of the country.
U Than Soe Naing said, “ It is a general concept that the just will prevail over the unjust in the long term. Today’s struggle was born out of the brutal crackdown of peaceful unarmed people who opposed the coup of the junta. And the struggle has gained momentum and violent fighting has erupted between junta troops and resistance forces of the NUG, the PDF and EAOs in the entire country. This is a reality. In terms of territorial control, the forces of the Spring Revolution have controlled 48 percent of the area of the country and only 51 percent was left in the hands of the SAC.”
Currently, fighting has been raging between the junta troops and alliances of the PDF and EAOs in Karen State, Kayah (Karenni) State, Sagaing Region and Magway Region.
Meanwhile, over 1.2 million civilian population have been internally displaced by the fighting in the entire country, according to a report released by the UNOCHA Myanmar on 31 July.
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4 August 2022
Due to the gap between the official exchange rate of US$ set by the Central Bank of Myanmar and market exchange rates, illegal export of pulses and beans increased, pulses and bean merchants told the CNI.
Pulses and beans, which fetch as much as US$ 850 per ton depending on their kinds, are mainly exported to China and India, and about 90 percent of pulses and beans exports is traded illegally, U Aung Moe, a pulses and beans merchant, told the CNI.
“If exported legally, one truckload of pulses and beans can result in a loss of MMK 15 to 20 million. So, merchants have to find a profitable way for themselves and most pulses and beans are exported illegally. Exchange rates do not increase in other countries but MMK’s exchange rates against US$ have risen to about MMK 2,500 per US$ in the market. Indian Rupee’s exchange rate hovers around 79 rupee per US$. Responsible officials should consider narrowing the gap between the official exchange rate and market exchanges. If they can raise the official exchange rate to about MMK 2,050 per US$, more US$ will enter the market and will be available for imports. By September and October, monsoon crops will be harvested and more US$ will be available in the market. Then, the CBM can reset the exchange rate at about MMK 1,950 per US$ before floating the exchange rate. Now, the CBM has set the exchange rate at MMK 1,850 per US$ for a long time. So, merchants try to survive by illegal means. If they do not dare to break the law, they will have nothing to do,” he said.
The processing of pulses and beans.
The official exchange rate negatively affects merchants in the long term and illegal trade will be rampant, he added.
If illegal trade is rampant, the government will lose revenues and it is impossible to collect correct statistics on trade volumes and values, an economist told the CNI.
“It can be said that merchants from formal trade have turned to informal trade. In the past, Myanmar had to exert great efforts to encourage merchants to engage in formal trade. Now, it is estimated that the ratio of formal and informal trade in Myanmar stands at 50:50. At present, merchants from formal trade are turning to informal trade and this doesn’t bode well for the country. The amount of foreign exchange transferred from the formal banking sector will drop. This is not a good prospect for the country,” he said.
The stock of pulses and beans in the hands of farmers in rural areas was running low but merchants in towns still had the crops in stock and the demand was growing, U Kywe Oo, a pulses and beans merchant, told the CNI.
“The demand for pulses and beans has not dropped. Merchants from Yangon came to us to buy pigeon pea from us. In our Pakokku, prices of green gram, mung bean and pigeon pea stand at about MMK 45,000, MMK 50,000 and MMK 49,500 per bag respectively. As some pulses and beans are locally consumed, their prices do not fall,” he said.
Furthermore, entrepreneurs were not able to import goods from other countries due to the exchange rate gap and merchants said that shortages of imported goods were likely.