CNI News
7 August 2025
Leaders of ethnic armed organizations (EAOs) who participated in the drafting of the agreement will be invited to the 10th anniversary ceremony of the signing of the Nationwide Ceasefire Agreement (NCA).
Pa-O National Liberation Organization (PNLO-NCA/S) Chairman Colonel Khun Okkar told CNI News. The signing of the Nationwide Ceasefire Agreement (NCA) will be10 years old on October 15, 2025.
When such an invitation is made, a renegotiation issue on the NCA path may arise, and the paths may change again in October, chairman of the PNLO-NCA/S, a member of the NCA, told CNI News.
While the NCA was being signed
" There are EAO leaders who participated in the NCA drafting in person even though they didn't sign the NCA. Leaders from the KIO and KNU were also included. I heard they will be invited to the upcoming 10th anniversary of the NCA signing ceremony in October. If they are invited, put aside the rare earth issue and the Bhamo battle for a while, a renegotiation issue on the NCA path may arise. Let no one be disrespected, let no one lose, let no one win, there may be a relaxation as the people who wrote the NCA will meet again to continue on the path of the NCA. So I think the trends may change again in October. In any case, I estimate that by October, armed conflicts, attacks, hostilities, public suffering, earthquakes, and wars will all decrease slightly," he said.
It is now August and there are only two months left to celebrate the 10th anniversary of the NCA, but ethnic armed groups are not in a position to attend due to differences of opinion within the organization, Myanmar political analyst Dr. Aung Myo told CNI News.
"The 10th NCA anniversary celebration is just two months away. According to the current situation, the government has already had an upper hand. Especially the KNU and KIA need decisions within their party and organization to reverse their current wrong path. It will be convenient if Saw Mutu Say Phoe's people who want peace are reinstated in the KNU. But it's not easy to happen immediately within two months. They won't be able to call a conference. I think we believe that this side (the Tatmadaw) will invite them. But I don't think they will be able to attend." said Dr. Aung Myo.
While ethnic armed organizations were holding a conference
The government led by U Thein Sein offered a ceasefire on August 18, 2011, and held talks with 21 ethnic armed organizations. Then, between 2011 and 2012, 14 state-level and union-level ceasefire agreements (Bilateral) were signed with ethnic armed groups.
Negotiations for the NCA agreement began in 2013, and a draft of the NCA agreement was received in August 201.
After receiving the draft NCA, it was signed by KNU, RCSS, ALP, DKBA, KNU/KNLA-PC, PNLO, CNF, ABSDF on October 15, 2015, and by the NMSP and LDU on February 13, 2018.
These 10 armed groups have been conducting peace talks for years under the name of the Peace Process Steering Team (PPST).
However, after 2021, disagreements arose among the members, and the Karen National Union (KNU), the Chin National Front (CNF), and the All Burma Students Democratic Front (ABSDF) decided to wage armed resistance against the Tatmadaw, claiming that the NCA had collapsed, and have been waging battles up to now.
