CNI News
15 July 2025
A civilian government would come to power if elections were held in Myanmar and military and political analysts are considering what might be the first issues the government would face.
The SAC chairman has said that elections will be held in December 2025 and January 2026, so if they were actually held, a civilian government would emerge.
The emerging civilian government must first resolve the nearly five-year armed conflict, which is an internal matter, Sai Htay Aung, chairman of the Tai Leng (Shanni) National Development Party (TNDP), told CNI News.
“The first thing the incoming government will have to deal with is domestic problems. The armed revolution will have to be resolved first. The second thing it will have to deal with is diplomacy. It will have to try to handle international diplomacy. If it can handle international diplomacy successfully, it will be able to resolve more domestic problems. This will be mutually beneficial. The main thing is to face the problems within Myanmar and then solve them," he said.
While casting a ballot
Military and political analysts point out that the six-month long state of emergency extended by the SAC will expire at the end of July at which time will determine whether elections will be held or not.
While some believe that the election is definitely possible because the months when elections will be held have been promised, there are also those who believe that elections are not possible due to the political situation.
The civilian government might face many difficulties and crises due to the armed conflict that has been going on for almost 5 years, pointed out military and political analysts.
The priority responsibilities of the authorities were law and order restoration and the development of the economy, Myanmar political analyst Dr. Aung Myo told CNI News.
“The first priority of a government is law and order restoration. The second is to handle the economy. These two are really challenging. The constitutional amendment will have to be done later. The government will have to work together with the Tatmadaw to bring peace to the country. The current Tatmadaw leadership is not saying that they are disappointed or have given up on the NCA. So, the armed groups that will come to understand the upcoming situation will be involved in the peace talks. So, they will have to restore peace and order, re-implement the NCA, and then rebuild the economy." he said.
While the UEC staff were explaining how to vote
However, Malaysian Foreign Minister Mohamed Hassan said ASEAN members agreed that elections in Myanmar were not a priority.
ASEAN has also urged the Myanmar military to uphold its peace commitments instead of holding elections, and ASEAN member states want Myanmar to respect the ASEAN five-point consent that the Tatmadaw agreed to by 2021, he said.
Therefore, they recommend that Myanmar should not prioritize the election at this time but prioritize ceasing all violence, so that all relevant organizations can meet and discuss, said Malaysian Foreign Minister Mohamed.
Currently, Myanmar is experiencing severe armed conflicts, economic decline and rising unemployment. The education and health sectors are in a state of decline, and industrial activities are declining because electricity is not fully available, pointed out both domestic and international sources.
