CNI News
4 January 2025
Military and political analysts are discussing and considering how military and political situations will be like in 2025.
There might be military activities in some places while there might be discussions in other places in 2025, chairman of the PNLO-NCA/S, Col. Khun Okkar told CNI News.
" In 2025, there might be military activities while there might be discussions in other places. But the people are bored of the war. They can't stand it, I think. So, Stakeholders can focus a little on the discussion side. Something stable can be won from the discussion. In some ways, elections may emerge through stability. As neighboring countries and other countries have urged to make peace, there might be discussions and military activities half by half. Largely, the places where battles broke out could be a bit stable," he said.
While seeing leaders of the MNDAA and Lt-Gen Ko Ko Oo of the Myanmar Tatmadaw
At China's brokered engagement, the MNDAA and the SAC met and discussed in Kunming, China on 15th and 16th December 2024 and ended without any agreement.
The AA reported on 29th December that it would discuss and solve the domestic problem through political means.
But if the discussion between the Myanmar Tatmadaw and the AA happened to take place, it couldn't succeed and military tensions could resume, considered military and political analysts.
The Yaw Army (YA) would speed up its military operations in cooperation with its allies for the liberation of the Yaw region, announced the YA on 24th December 2024.
Moreover, the Student Armed Force (SAF) announced on 1st January 2025 that penetrating the middle part of Myanmar was its military goal in 2025.
The SAC had invited armed groups to meet and discuss peace.
While seeing the AA
Although some ethnic leaders were saying that they wanted federalism and ethnic rights, in practice they were trying to disintegrate the Union, said Sr-Gen Min Aung Hlaing. Political dialogues should be held in 2025 to reduce military tensions, chairman of the Arakan National Network, U Tin Htoo Aung told CNI News.
" We don't want military activities to become more tense in 2025. So, we want stakeholders to find an answer through political dialogues. The AA has demanded recognition of state actors from non-state actors. While the AA has captured nearly the whole Rakhine State, the Myanmar Tatmadaw needs to carry out how to negotiate. How are managements being made in the towns captured by EAOs? Is the Myanmar Tatmadaw launching air strikes like this? If so, the country won't be peaceful. So, we want stakeholders to hold political dialogues as soon as possible. We want the SAC to release political prisoners including Daw Aung San Suu Kyi. And the economy of the country has reached the lowest level." he said.
Domestic armed conflicts are getting worse and there have been over three million IDPs in Myanmar.
It was necessary to solve it politically, said the UNHCR on 31st December 2024.
