CNI News
12 November 2023
Reviews and discussions relating to what will be Chinese attitude to the Operation-1027 which the Three Brotherhood Alliance (AA, MNDAA and TNLA) is waging in northern Shan State are underway among political and military experts.
With the operation that was launched on 27 the October, battles are severely taking place in northern Shan State near the Chinese border and many IDPs fled to the Chinese side.
The Three Brotherhood Alliance launched their operation only after letting China know, Col.Khun Okka, an EAO leader, CNI News.
While seeing Chinese Special Envoy and Sr-Gen Min Aung Hlaing
" I think they launched the operation only after letting China know. But China won't directly say yes or no. It might tell through Wa..The Kachin Independence Army (KIA) might take part in drafting the operation. That's why China, Wa and KIA might be at the back of the Three Brotherhood Alliance." he said.
The Three Brotherhood Alliance stated that it has already controlled Chin Shwe Haw, Phaung Sai, Theinni and Kyukote (Pangsai) in northern Shan State.
At the same time, Sr-Gen Min Aung Hlaing said that the Tatmadaw was carrying out to re-open the China-Myanmar border trade and would launch necessary counter-offensives.
It was found that there were common interests between the Three Brotherhood and China, Sai Kyi Zin Soe, a Myanmar political commentator, told CNI News.
While seeing troops participating in the Operation-1027 led by the MNDAA
" Mainly, their statements, their speeches, and their reports on media should be taken into account and there were groups that were committing trans-border crimes before these battles and the groups could not be taken action against effectively reportedly. There are things that are related to the Silk Road Project, the main project of China. Chinese pragmatism should be considered. The Three Brotherhood Alliance stated that they would welcome the implementation of peace process under the Chinese leadership early this year. So the Three Brotherhood Alliance is found to have connections of interests with China more or less." said Sai Kyaw Zin Soe.
China wanted Myanmar to have a stable government and according to its policy, China would not help the Three Brotherhood Alliance, Dr.Aung Myo, a Myanmar political commentator told CNI News.
" The China-Myanmar gas pipeline and fuel pipeline will be more important to China. It will be willing to talk with a stable government of Myanmar only. It won't be willing to talk with many governments such as Kachin government, Rakhine government or Palaung government. It is natural. Because China wants peace, it had offered Myanmar if it would be convenient to use one country two system. It would tell to try the system. But the situation has been less likely to implement the system up to now. So, China doesn't help the Three Brotherhood Alliance." said Dr.Aung Myo.
Myanmar EAOs are being active along the China-Myanmar border and there are a lot of Chinese investments in Myanmar reportedly.
On the other hand, parallel to the Operation-1027, joint forces of KIA, AA, ABSDF and PDF are waging operations in order to capture Tigyaint, Kawlin, Pinlebu, Banmauk, Tamu, Khampat, Homalin and Kalay regions and the battles are severely taking place between the joint forces and the Tatmadaw.
