CNI News
3 June 2025
The Myanmar Tatmadaw may focus on territorial control in order to hold elections in Myanmar by 2025, pointed out military and political analysts.
The Myanmar Tatmadaw 's losses are unprecedented in the current political landscape in Myanmar, and that repreparations are currently being made.
Therefore, more battles may take place and a more severe response from the Myanmar Tatmadaw may emerge, Myanmar political analyst Dr. Aung Myo told CNI News.
“Traditionally, the military will fight to regain lost territories such as the food supply situation and ammunition availability situation. The Tatmadaw will focus on security and territorial control for the elections. Therefore, fighting is likely to increase. The Tatmadaw has suffered an unprecedented defeat. This is because there are mistakes in the constitution and the Tatmadaw was not prepared well with its overconfidence. The Tatmadaw will try to regain the territories it lost in the past year or two. The Tatmadaw will also gain manpower under the People's Military Service Law. If it does, we will see a strong response from the Tatmadaw," he said.
While seeing the joint forces of ABSDF and KIA
The SAC chairman has told the international community that elections will be held in December 2025 and January 2026.
In addition, on May 24, he inspected the military operations of the Triangle Command in Kengtung, Shan State (East) and said that the units need to be able to successfully carry out operations, security, and territorial control in the areas they are responsible for.
In the post-2021 political landscape of Myanmar, fighting between some ethnic armed groups/revolutionary forces and the Myanmar Tatmadaw has been ongoing for more than 4 years. Therefore, peace and stability in a region are difficult to sustain in the long term, given Myanmar’s history, and only when there is peace in the Union can they move towards a path that is beneficial to all,” Colonel Saw Kyaw Nyunt, spokesperson for the 7 EAOs Alliance, told CNI News.
" Only when there is peace in the Union that we are talking about, can we cease fire in the entire country and move towards a path that is convenient for all. It is difficult to sustain the peace in a region in the long term due to the historical circumstances of the country. Therefore, whether militarily or politically, these two are intertwined. Therefore, I believe that only if we can build peace in the Union, whether in each region or each state, will we be able to implement security, stability, and rule of law for the people there in the long term,” he said.
Currently, over three million people have been displaced and thousands of houses have been destroyed by fire due to the ongoing armed conflict across Myanmar. Similarly, the Myanmar Tatmadaw has lost control of hundreds of military bases and more than 90 towns.
Furthermore, due to China's intervention and pressure, negotiations have been held between some northern armed groups and the Tatmadaw, and the Tatmadaw has also regained the key area of Lashio.
