CNI News

30 January 2025

As the Kokang armed organization (the MNDAA) and the Arakan Army (AA) have attacked and captured military commands of the Myanmar Tatmadaw, the Ta'ang National Liberation Army (TNLA) seemed to want to attack and capture Pyin Oo Lwin, Dr. Hla Kyaw Zaw, a China-Myanmar affairs analyst, told CNI News. 

On the other hand, although China and the SAC wanted to meet and discuss, the TNLA seemed to be prolonging, she said.

" Now that the open season has arrived, the TNLA seems to want to attack Pyin Oo Lwin, envying the abilities of the MNDAA and the AA that have military commands of the Myanmar Tatmadaw. I know Pyin Oo Lwin is in a very bad situation. The TNLA seems to want to  attack Pyin Oo Lwin. So, it seems to prolong to discuss politically. I don't think the military council can control Pyin Oo Lwin for long. So, the military council seems to want to cease fire as soon as possible." she said.

Because the TNLA was not able to withstand the Chinese pressure, it would have to meet and discuss with the SAC. 

But the Myanmar Tatmadaw making air strikes to the areas controlled by the TNLA, pointed out military and political analysts. In order to maintain the success of the Ta'ang revolution in the long term, it would cooperate with resistance forces from all over the country, announced the TNLA.

If the Myanmar Tatmadaw continued to launch air strikes, the TNLA could attack Pyin Oo Lwin, U Than Soe Naing, a political commentator, told CNI News.

" If the military council continue to launch air strikes, the TNLA could attack Pyin Oo Lwin. It can take part in Shan-Man Operation. The participation of the TNLA in Shan-Man Operation was later reduced due to Chinese pressure, but economic ties could increase. China wants to improve the flow of goods on the Muse-Mandalay Road. Negotiations will lead to it, I think." said U Than Soe Naing.

Although the TNLA is attacking to capture Taung Kham near Pyin Oo Lwin, it still is unable to move forward.

The temporary ceasefire agreement was reached between the Myanmar Tatmadaw and the MNDAA under China's pressure, reported the Chinese government although the two sides did not release.

So, the TNLA and the AA might meet with the SAC in the near future, considered some people.