CNI News

24 January 2025

Military and political analysts are considering whether the State Administration Council (SAC) will give priority to military or politics. 

According the current situation, although politics could be given priority, if political means didn't work at all, military means would be maintained, director of the Thayninga Institute for Strategy Studies, U Thein Tun Oo told CNI News.

" Personally, according to the current situation, the SAC is more inclined to solve politically. It's the political discussion. But are EAOs including organizations declared as terrorist organizations going to accept the SAC's invitation to discuss politically? If the political means doesn't work at all, it could lead to the military means." said U Thein Tun Oo.

ASEAN countries urged the SAC on 19th January 2025  to start political dialogues after ceasing fire immediately without giving priority to the election. 

Sr-Gen Min Aung Hlaing said that it was necessary to solve the political problem through the political means and invited stakeholders to meet and discuss politically.

While seeing political parties and Sr-Gen Min Aung Hlaing

The SAC was driving both military and politics at the same time in 2025, chairman of the Arakan Front Party (AFP) Dr. Aye Maung told CNI News.

" According to the constitution, the SAC will carry out to make the Hluttaw government arise and it will focus on the military task more. It can try to make both of them move. Roughly speaking, the election can be held in May. The People's Military Service Law came into effect in February 2024. Air Force and Navy have been building in a bigger way since 27th October 2023. It will use army, air force and navy force in 2025. Now, from a defensive position, we are starting to see some offensive patterns. So, it seems to be driving military and politics at the same time." said Dr. Aye Maung.

Sr-Gen Min Aung Hlaing have urged armed organizations to renounce weapons and run the election and demanding what they wanted with armed attacks would not be complied;  they should demand what they wanted from inside the Hluttaw, he said.

While seeing leaders from the AA, the TNLA and the MNDAA

A ceasefire agreement was signed between the Myanmar Tatmadaw and the Myanmar National Democratic Alliance Army (MNDAA) due to Chinese mediation, said Chinese Foreign Ministry Spokesperson Miss Mao Ning at the regular press conference held on 20th January 2025. 

The TNLA and the AA announced that they wanted to meet and discuss with the Myanmar Tatmadaw due to China's mediation.

However, no meeting or discussion has been held yet and battles are severely breaking out between the Myanmar Tatmadaw and the AA in areas bordering Rakhine Yoma.

At present, the Myanmar Tatmadaw has lost control of the Northeast Command and the West Command, including over 90 townships as well as several military camps.