CNI News

16 January 2025

The political path might be given priority after 31st January when the SAC's six month tenure of the state of emergency will expire, chairman of the PNLO-NCA/S, Col. Khun Okkar told CNI News.

Because what would happen to political situation when the SAC renews the tenure has not been known yet, it was necessary to watch the political situation what would arise after 3st January, he said.

" It's necessary to watch the political situation that will arise when the tenure of the SAC expires. Because it's anybody's guess what will happen to the political situation after another six months extension, we have to consider whether to increase military or political activities. In any case, political path will be given priority, I think. Because the military activities reached at peak, it's necessary to promote the political path, which everyone has considered. When the political path is given priority, if armed elements win their political goals through political means, battles might be suspended." said Col. Khun Okkar.

The SAC will have taken the State power for four years on 31st January 2025 after overthrowing the NLD government on 1st February 2021. 

The SAC has renewed  its tenure six times within four years. As the has repeatedly said that it will hold the election, the SAC might extend the state of emergency for another six months, said military and political analysts. 

There were widespread armed conflicts across the country in 2024 and the Myanmar Tatmadaw has lost control of several hundred military camps including the Northeast Command and the West Command as well as over 90 townships.

While Sr-Gen Min Aung Hlaing was meeting with political parties

So, when the SAC renews for another six months, it might promote the military activities and hold the election, considered military and political analysts.

The SAC would renew for another six months and continue to do what it would have to, spokesperson of the United Nationalities Alliance (UNA), U Myo Kyaw told CNI News.

" I have known the SAC will renew its tenure. It will continue to do what it has to. The SAC has been doing what it wants to since 2021. The SAC hasn't held any constructive talks." he said.

On the one hand, as EAOs and revolutionary forces have announced that they would launch more battles in 2025, more and more military conflict could increase than 2024,  said some people.

After renewing its tenure, the SAC could announce in May, 2025 when the election will be held and the election could have been held. And then, there might be plans to hand over the State power to the winning party in April 2026, considered diplomatic circles.