CNI News
10 January 2024
After the Kachin Independence Army (KIA) has seized control of Mansi Town in Kachin State, the Mansi route might be the first step to march into the mainland, chairman of the Arakan Front Party (AFP), Dr. Aye Maung told CNI News.
The KIA/PDF joint forces attacked and captured three remaining battalions of the Myanmar Tatmadaw im Mansi, Kachin State on 8th January 2025.
There are three routes to penetrate into the mainland and the route from Mansi may be the first route, Dr. Aye Maung told CNI News.
While seeing the KIA-PDF
" Largely, the Shan-Man operation disappeared. And then, three routes were expected to penetrate the mainland. One is from Rakhine State, second from Kachin State and third from northern Shan State. There might be an idea that the Shan-Man operation might penetrate into the mainland together with these offensives and then revolutionary forces may move to Naypyidaw. Let's think of the second wave of Operation-1027. If there is a route from Mansi, it may be the first. How will the SAC respond to the offensive coming from Mansi? How will the SAC respond to these three offensives? As a result, how will the Myanmar government take seriously the interests of China and India? It is the challenge that has to be taken care of in Myanmar politics in early 2025." he said.
The KIA has captured the Kachin Special Region-1 where rare earth can be produced and has been launching offensives to Bhamo which is included in China's targeted project since 4th December 2024.
While battles were severely breaking out in Bhamo and Mansi Townships, the KIA delegate led by chairman of the KIA, General N'Ban La went to China and discussed the stability of border areas and stoppage of battles with Chinese authorities. And then, the KIA sped up its offensives starting from 6th January, 2025 and the KIA was able to capture Mansi Town on 8th January.
While seeing General N'Ban La
The Chinese pressure on the KIA was different from that on the MNDAA and the KIA had advantages, Dr. Hla Kyaw Zaw, a Myanmar-China affairs commentator, told CNI News.
" Although China summoned the KIA to discuss, the KIA went on fighting about what they would have to do. Although China put pressure on the KIA, in fact China advised. The KIA is better than MNDAA because all the regions the KIA captured not long ago are adjacent to the Chinese border. So, the Myanmar Tatmadaw can't carry out airstrikes. But Bhamo was badly damaged by airstrikes. Another advantage is that Kachin State shares borders with China and there are Jinghpaw (Kachin)'s self-administered districts in China." she said.
At present, the KIA/PDF joint forces have captured Mabein, Myohla, Lweje, Dodphone Yang, Myothit, Sinbo, Ingyanyan, Sumprabon, Sadon, Chipwi, Sawlaw, Panwa, Kan Pite Tee and Mansi in Kachin State and northern Shan State.
