CNI News

24 December 2024

The Arakan Army (AA) would enter Magway Region and the capture of the Myanmar Tatmadaw's weapon factories might be the AA's second front, U Than Soe Naing, a political commentator, told CNI News.

Ann town-based the West Command of the Myanmar Tatmadaw had been captured by the AA, announced the AA 20th December 2024.

Moreover, its offensive was accelerating for the battle to capture Gwa, said the AA on 21st December.

If the AA joined the underground revolutionary forces in Ayeyarwady Region, Ayeyarwady Region might be a unique guerilla region; Magway Region was the second front that the AA would have to focus on, said U Than Soe Naing.

While seeing a junction in Rakhine State

"According to the news I've heard, the AA forces have already arrived in Ngathaing Gyaung, Ayeyarwady Region. If the AA forces arrive there and join the underground revolutionary forces in Ayeyarwady Region, the region might become a unique guerilla region, I hope. The AA will be able to capture Gwa. Now that Ann has fallen into the hands of the AA, Kyauk Phyu and Sittwe are mainly left to be captured. But the AA doesn't have to capture Kyauk Phyu because there are lots of foreign investment especially the Chinese investments. What we mainly need is Sittwe. As the AA has got Ann, entering Magway Region, to capture the Myanmar Tatmadaw's weapon factories is the second front that the AA has to pay attention, I think." he said.

The NUG would fight for the liberation of the entire people in Myanmar together with the AA, said Acting President Duwa Lashi La of the NUG in his letter sent to the AA on 22nd December 2024. 

Moreover, The NUG formed the Ayeyarwady Region Command on 12th December 2024 and was fighting in collaboration with ethnic armed groups, said in the NUG's statement. 

Because the directions of both sides were different, war could only be ended with war, director of the Thayninga Institute for Strategy Studies, U Thein Tun Oo told CNI News.

While seeing the AA

"The other side is heading towards war. The SAC is heading towards peace. There is not a situation that cannot be negotiated. Frankly speaking, war could only be ended with war. Usually, those who are focused on war, when they feel that their side has won and that victories are coming, tend to expand territories. When they enter Ayeyarwady Region, locals' attitude is important. And how will the SAC take action? How will the Myanmar Tatmadaw defense it? These things are mainly important. Only coordination will be able to prevent the AA." he said.

Among 17 townships in Rakhine State, the AA has captured 13 towns and the AA is severely launching an offensive to Gwa Town; there are only Sittwe, Kyauk Phyu and Manaung to capture, released the AA.

Battles are severely breaking out between the AA and the Myanmar Tatmadaw in Rakhine State and there have been a lot of IDPs. 

There were over four million refugees in Myanmar, according to the records of the UNHCR office on 2nd December 2024.