CNI News

11 November 2024

What might be the root cause of armed conflicts taking place across the country must be find out, pointed out military and political analysts. 

The root cause of armed conflict was because there were no equal rights in accordance with the constitution and the way to end the conflict was to amend the constitution or to write a new constitution, chairman of the Arakan Front Party (AFP) Dr. Aye Maung told CNI News.

" The root cause of armed conflict is because there has been no equal right which has been enjoyed. So, the only way that can solve the armed conflict is giving equal right in accordance with the constitution. So, if the problem is related to the constitution, the armed conflict must be solved by the constitution. A law relating to the constitution, democracy and federal is needed. According to the constitution, equal right, self-administration and self-determination must be fully given to ethnic people." he said.

While seeing international diplomats, leaders of the SAC and leaders of armed groups

Something like the national assembly is needed to grant self-administration and self-determination, pointed out Dr. Aye Maung. 

" If some thing like the National Assembly could be created by the current government, powerful countries could help make all the armed groups participate in the peacemaking. China could help make the armed groups along the China's border take part and so could India and Thailand. All the armed organizations including the Myanmar Tatmadaw need a point of assembly like this. It's an assembly on peace or principles of the constitution." he said.

Because of political disagreements that started from 1st February 2021, armed conflicts have been breaking out widely across the country and the number of IDPs were over six millions until October 2024, according to the ISP Myanmar.

While seeing leaders of the MNDAA, the TNLA and the AA

It wouldn't be unlikely to negotiate between the both sides anymore, U Than Soe Naing, a Myanmar political commentator, told CNI News. 

" The both sides don't seem to negotiate. (Sr-Gen) Min Aung Hlaing goes on waging the terrorist war. The rest people (revolutionary forces) are making preparations to launch offensives from the defensive war. So, peace talks will never arise as long as Min Aung Hlaing exists. Both sides are to reach a situation that can decide militarily. Because the peace process the military council is talking about contains one-sided demands, it's unlikely to arise peace talks. As the people won't stop this battle as long as the military council steps down and the 2008 constitution is dissolved, there won't be alternative. So, they'll go on fighting." he said.

While seeing Chinese PM Li Chang and Sr-Gen Min Aung Hlaing

The Myanmar Tatmadaw has announced the unilateral ceasefire since 2018 and implemented it; only when armed groups started fighting, would the Myanmar Tatmadaw fight back, said Sr-Gen Min Aung Hlaing when he met with the Chinese PM Li Chang on 6th November 2024.

And then, only when the Three Brotherhood Alliance (MNDAA,TNLA,AA) really wanted peace, would the Myanmar Tatmadaw discuss, he added. 

Battles are severely breaking out between the Myanmar Tatmadaw and EAOs/PDFs in Sagaing, Magway, Mandalay, Bago, Tanintharyi Regions, Shan, Kachin, Karen, Kayah, Chin, Mon and Rakhine States.