CNI News
30 October 2024
Because the MNDAA is facing not only a variety of pressures but also airstrikes, whether it might lose control of Lashio is being asked by military and political analysts.
The MNDAA captured Lashio during the second wave of Operation-1027 and is trying to build urban administration.
And then, the Myanmar Tatmadaw is putting pressure on the MNDAA by carrying out airstrikes to Lashio so that the MNDAA can't establish administration as well as to make the MNDAA retreat from Lashio. In the same way, the Chinese government also is putting pressure on the MNDAA to retreat from Lashio.
It was less likely that the MNDAA would relinquish Lashio without reaching a political agreement, chairman of the PNLO NCA/S, Col. Khun Okkar told CNI News.
" In my opinion, the MNDAA won't give up without holding a discussion. Sr-Gen Min Aung Hlaing will go to China on 7th, 8th on 9th November. When he come back, he will take an answer with him, I think. if the MNDAA, the TNLA and the AA want the SAC to stop bombing, they need to talk with the SAC. They might forsake towns only if a political agreement is reached because they had to try hard to capture the towns. For the time being, they won't let go of the towns under the cuurent pressure, I think." he said.
While seeing leaders from the UWSA and the MNDAA
Sr-Gen Min Aung Hlaing will go to China and he might come ba.ck with a result after meeting with the leaders of the Chinese government, said military and political analysts.
Chinese Special Envoy Deng Xijun met with the delegation of the United Wa State Army led by vice chairman Zhao Kau An on 27th August 2024 and asked about the situations regarding battles in northern Shan State and the Naypyidaw government.
Although China has closed down the border gates with the MNDAA, as the MNDAA was taking resources such as rice, oil, medicine, weapons, and so on, it could continue to wage battles, so the UWSA must block and inspect so that any resources could not arrive in the hands of the MNDAA, said Deng Xijun during the meeting.
China didn't want that the Myanmar Tatmadaw would collapse; China wouldn't accept at all that the NUG/PDFs close to western countries would win, said Deng Xijun.
China was putting pressure on the MNDAA, the TNLA, UWSA and the Myanmar Tatmadaw to sit at the political roundtable, Dr. Hla Kyaw Zaw, a Myanmar-China affairs commentator, told CNI News.
While seeing Mr. Deng Xijun
" The military council asked to give Lashio and Theinni back. It said it would attend the meeting only after it got them. When China told the MNDAA about it, the MNDAA replied to China that it would not give the towns to the military council. But the MNDAA had to give in what it could. It's not easy for the MNDAA and the TNLA. The China's strategy is to make Myanmar peaceful ASAP. So, it is putting pressure on the MNDAA, the TNLA, the UWSA and the Myanmar Tatmadaw to sit at the political roundtable." she said.
As long as the Kokang troops didn't retreat from Lashio, China wouldn't lift the sanctions on the MNDAA; on top of that, China would continue to take more severe actions against the MNDAA, said Deng Xijun.
Although China is putting pressure on the TNLA and the MNDAA to stop battles and the MNDAA to retreat from Lashio, in cooperation with the PDFs, they are fighting against the Myanmar Tatmadaw in northern Shan State and Mandalay Region.
