CNI News
15 October 2024
There are discussions and comments among military and political circles whether political dialogues could arise in 2025 so as to end political and armed conflicts.
China could take part in necessary places such as Haigen discussion while India, Thailand and ASEAN could participate in the peace of Myanmar, chairman of the Arakan Front Party (AFP), Dr. Aye Maung told CNI News.
" In my opinion, Mr.Wang Yi (Chinese FM)'s trip to Myanmar and his speech would represent the policy of the Chinese Communist Party. China will go on making efforts to make Myanmar peaceful and it could push the ASEAN to do so. Now Paetongtan (Thai PM) will lead in the peace process of Myanmar, which the ASEAN seems to support. The ASEAN could take part in the peace process of Myanmar inside out. It's likely that Thailand will lead and discuss in December this year." he said.
Myanmar opposition elements and international diplomats met and discussed in Indonesia on 4th and 5th October in order to end the armed and politial conflicts taking place in Myanmar.
While the ASEAN Summit Talk was being held in October 2024
And then, the ASEAN Summit Talk was held in Laos on 9th Octover 2024 and mainly discussed the issues of Myanmar and South China Sea.
Because China, India and Thailand share border with Myanmar, they could support to make comprehensive political talks arise, pointed out political commentators. Because of political disagreements starting from 1st February 2021, armed conflicts have been taking place widely across the country.
The Three Brotherhood Alliance (MNDAA,TNLA,AA) launched Operation-1027 on 27th October 2023 and waged battles to capture towns. The Haigen Agreement was signed by both sides at the Chinese mediation on 11th January 2024. However, after the agreement was void on 25th June, battles resumed.
While seeing Sr-Gen Min Aung Hlaing and the Chines FM Wang Yi
Peace talks could be more difficult if the military means was used for long; if both sides compromised based on prestigious principles, it could be convenient, chairman of the PNLO-NCA/S, Col. Khun Okkar told CNI News.
" Organizations concerned could reconsider the military means if the political results that they wanted came out. If the competition by military means takes long, it could be more difficult to meet and discuss. So, I think, before bigger problems take place, a lot of dialogues will arise. The dialogues will arise by the end of this year, I think. An EAO has requested China to mediate to make peace talks arise. If China will mediate in a gentleman style, it could be convenient." he said.
As the SAC had announced that it would hold a general election in 2025 and the State power would be handed over to the winning party, comprehensive political dialogues could arise that year, pointed out military and political analysts.
