CNI News

9 August 2024

Political and military analysts are reviewing and discussing about the question whether there is a possibility of disintegration of Myanmar after Sr-Gen Min Aung Hlaing, chairman of the State Administration Council said that citizens needed to be united to make Myanmar perpetuate. 

World affairs were so complicated that everyone of them must be united to make Myanmar perpetuate and as long as the Tatmadaw and the people existed, Myanmar would exist, said Sr-Gen Min Aung Hlaing in his speech delivered on the 5th of August, 2024.

" Our people were able to successfully resist foreign invaders and various domestic insurgents that arose through the ages together with the Myanmar Tatmadaw. The people and the people were able to face and overcome internal and external threats. What the people should be careful is that the current world affairs are so complicated that we all need to be united so that Myanmar can perpetuate as long as the world exists. We can only face threats with unity. Our people need to support the Myanmar Tatmadaw so that a just war led by the Myanmar Tatmadaw which sacrificed their lives and sweats through successive ages can win the war. As long as the Tatmadaw and patriotist people exist, Myanmar will exist. We'll carry out to make the country perpetuate." said Sr-Gen Min Aung Hlaing.

While seeing the MNDAA force

Battles are widely breaking out across the country because of political disagreements that started on the first of February, 2021 and battles are taking place in the mainland where there were no battles in the past. 

These situations arose because of the strength competition between the Myanmar Tatmadaw and opposition elements, U Than Soe Naing, a Myanmar political commentator, told CNI News.

The Three Brotherhood Alliance (AA,TNLA,MNDAA) attacked and captured most towns in northern Shan State during Operation-1027. And then, drones, drop bombs and shock missiles the TNLA and the MNDAA are using have been technologically upgraded; they have obtained technological support from mercenaries, said Sr-Gen Min Aung Hlaing in his speech on 5th August. 

He could not comment on whether the country would be disintegrated, but the country was in a state of disorder, Mahn Pyi Aung Soe, chairman of the Karen National Democratic Party, told CNI News.

While seeing the TNLA force

" I can't say exactly whether the country will be disintegrated or not. But it's true that the country is in a state of disorder now." he said.

It was necessary to reform some issues of the Myanmar Tatmadaw. Otherwise, the country could be disintegrated, said a political commentator.

" There has been a situation in which the country could be disintegrated. Frankly speaking, it's all because of leadership. What should have done were not done. And military officials from upper level are committing bribery in a big way. So, soldiers from other ranks lost trust in top military officials. If that condition was reformed, it would be convenient." he said.

Various EAOs and armed organizations are fighting against the Myanmar Tatmadaw to win their different goals such as establishment of federal union or a democracy or confederation.

There are no more secession or declaration of independence in modern times and it would be convenient if stakeholders met and compromise, said a political commentator.

While seeing Maj-Gen Tun Myat Naing, leader of the AA

Because EAOs might have considerations beyond federalism in 2025, a federal union should be established as soon as possible, said Maj-Gen Gun Maw, vice chairman of the KIA when he met with Daw Aung San Suu Kyi and Sr-Gen Min Aung Hlaing in 2018.

Moreover, secretary of the TNLA Tar Bone Kyaw urged its ethnic people on 18th August, 2022 that Palaung people must get ready if they had to establish a country of their own in future.

They must start governing at the territories they have controlled with the self-administered system of the self-determination, said General Yawd Serk, chairman of the RCSS at the meeting of the seven NCA signatories held from 17th to 19th March, 2024.

Moreover, they would establish Rakhine State to be a state that was not lower than confederation status after waging battles, said Maj-Gen Tun Myat Naing, Commander in Chief of the Arakan Army.