CNI News
7 August 2024
Political and military analysts are reviewing and discussing whether battles breaking out until the border between northern Shan State and Mandalay Region could spread to Mandalay.
The second wave of Operation-1027 was launched by the Three Brotherhood Alliance (AA,TNLA,MNDAA) in northern Shan State in the last week of June and battles reached Momeik, Mogok, Madaya and Sintku in Mandalay Region.
And then, many residents of Mandalay were worried that battles would reach Mandalay township and some of them fled to Naypyidaw and Yangon in advance.
Although the current battles could threaten Mandalay City, PDFs alone could find it difficult to capture Mandalay without the help of EAOs and the Haigen discussion must be watched, Col.Khun Okkar, patron of the Pa-O National Liberation Organization (PNLO) told CNI News.
While seeing the Mandalay PDF/the TNLA joint forces
" In my opinion, the current battles can threaten Mandalay. But we can't say whether Palaung, Kokang and Wa forces will come with PDF forces or not. But there are other Bamar forces as well. They might join the organizations that will attack Mandalay. But if EAOs didn't join, they alone could find it difficult to capture Mandalay City. Meanwhile,a certain discussion could suspend the battles for a short time. We have heard that there will be a discussion in Cunming, China. We are watching it. The situation won't get worse for the time being, I think." he said.
The National Solidarity and Peacemaking Negotiation Committee sent a letter describing that it wouldn't be able to attend the 6th Haigen Meeting with the Three Brotherhood Alliance that will be held on 8th August.
In the strength competition between the democratic elements and the military elements, the democratic elements want the revolutionary forces to capture Mandalay City quickly, U Kyi Myint, Myanmar political commentator told CNI News.
While seeing the office of the Mandalay City Development Committee
" In the strength competition between the democratic elements and the military elements, the democratic elements want the revolutionary force to capture Mandalay City as soon as possible by all means." he said.
The Palaung State Liberation Front (PSLF/TNLA), the Myanmar National Democratic Alliance Army (MNDAA), the Mandalay People's Defense Force (MDY-PDF) and the Bamar People's Liberation Army (BPLA) are included in the battles against the Myanmar Tatmadaw in northern Shan State and Mandalay Region.
Revolutionary forces could pretend to be really attacking Pyin Oo Lwin and they could mainly attack Mandalay City, a political commentator told CNI News.
" Battles can reach Mandalay. Revolutionary forces will mainly attack Mandalay. They will pretend to be really attacking Pyin Oo Lwin. PDF troops could wear uniforms of the MNDAA and the TNLA after which they could attack. China will support necessary arms and ammunition. So, they can attack with full strength." he said.
Battles are breaking out between the Myanmar Tatmadaw and revolutionary forces in Kyaukme and Nawnghkio, northern Shan State as well as in Mogok, Sintku and Madaya, Mandalay Region.
Armed opposition forces were gathering forces in order to attack Mandalay City, pointed out military analysts.
