CNI News

25 April 2024

There are now reviews among political and military analysts in relation to what might happen from the power struggle between the State Administration Council (SAC) and the National Unity Government (NUG).

Due to the political changes that originated in the wake of 1st February, 2021, armed conflicts are widely taking place across the country. Neither side would win decisively in the power struggle and a dialogue path could emerge, Naing Than Shwe, spokesperson of the Mon Unity Party (MUP), told CNI News.

" According to the current situation, neither side can win and a dialogue can arise that we hope, because Daw Aung San Suu Kyi and U Win Myint have been transferred not long ago. Because of doing so, we hope a meeting with international diplomats might arise. Another thing, the military tension might reduce gradually because both sides have suffered lots of deaths and injuries, we think." he said.

Wile seeing the NUG

Even though it has been more than 3 years since the armed conflict between the SAC and the NUG started, they have not been able to find a solution up to now. So, the people are facing difficult livelihoods. Moreover, because of battles, there are a lot of civilian deaths, IDPs and house damages.

The SAC and the NUG - neither side would win decisively and the current situation would not go ahead. So, tripartite - the SAC, the NUG and the EAOs- discussion would result in a solution, Col.Khun Okka, patron of the Pa-O National Liberation Organization (PNLO), told CNI News.

"My first review is that neither side will win. The second is that it's impossible to go on like this. If this keeps up, it hurts neighboring countries - India, Thailand and China. I'm sure they won't like the current trend. It will be better to make a dialogue arise without hurting the dignity of any side. There are not two sides only in our country. On top of that, there are EAOs as well. So, we need to hold a tripartite discussion that contain the NUG (instead of Daw Aung San Suu Kyi), the SAC and the EAOs so that we can find a solution, I think." he said.

While seeing some leaders of the EAOs

There are also conversations among the political community that if China, India and Thailand intervene and solve the current political crisis of Myanmar, it could be resolved.

The SAC and the NUG are making efforts to get rid of each other decisively, mutual announcing terrorist organizations.