CNI News

25 March 2024

In spite of the fact that EAOs fought to establish a federal democratic union in the past, they have changed their ways of thinking now, and political and military analysts are reviewing how they have changed.

In the current situation, the idea that they have to attack has become dominant and the idea would continue to be strong unless the political sector was strong again, U Ko Ko Gyi, chairman of the People's Party (PP), told CNI News.

“The main problem is that the political role has disappeared. If we were able to make effective reformations in time at the political talks with political parties and EAOs,  severe armed conflict like this could be reduced, we believe. But at present, the idea of having to fight has influenced over many EAOs. So, if we can't make political reform, and non-terrorist political role strong again, the idea of having to fight militarily will be influencing." he said.

While seeing the AA force

After the Operation-1027 that was launched on 27th October, 2023 by the Three Brotherhood Alliance (AA,TNLA and MNDAA), the MNDAA and the TNLA have started administration, legislation and judiciary in the territories that they have seized control of.

At present, battles are severely breaking out between the Tatmadaw and the AA in Rakhine State. In the same way, battles are severely breaking out between the Tatmadaw and the KIA in Kachin State. Battles are breaking out between the Tatmadaw and some EAOs everyday, and the territories that EAOs control might be more, U Kun Gawn Awng Hkam, a Kachin politician, told CNI News.

" EAOs that are waging armed resistance have territories that they have controlled. Battles are breaking out everyday and territories that EAOs control might be more, I think. The MNDAA has started their administrative system. Other EAOs are gradually starting. I can't estimate how the military council will respond them." he said.

While seeing the TNLA

Some EAOs were able to capture some townships in northern Shan, Rakhine and Chin States after the Operation-1027. 

And battles are breaking out between the Tatmadaw and some EAOs/revolutionary joint forces in Rakhine, Chin, Kachin, Karenni, Karen States, Sagaing and Magway Regions.

When Myanmar is in a political crisis and the Tatmadaw becomes weak, EAOs' ways of thinking have changed from the demand to establish a federal democratic union to get the confederation status.