CNI News
30 November 2023
Myanmar Tatmadaw may launch an offensive against the Three Brotherhood Alliance aka northern group, Col.Khun Okka, patron of the Pa-O National Liberation Organization (PNLO) told CNI News.
Just as the Chinese army conducted a military exercise near the China-Myanmar border in the past few days, currently Myanmar and China are jointly doing navy military exercises.
This situation is possible because China and Myanmar want to show that their relations are good. After that, China might carry out to stop the operation that is being waged by the northern armed groups, Col.Khun Okka told CNI News.
While preparing for joint Chinese and Myanmar naval exercises
" What landscape is, it is tantamount to show that Naypyidaw and China have good relations. Moreover, there is a sense that China will put into practice what it is talking about stopping the operations being waged by northern group. It seems that Naypyidaw is going to launch an offensive against the northern group by the end of this month. If the northern groups stop when they should stop, both sides will suffer less." said Col.Khun Okka.
Battles have been fiercely taking place between the Tatmadaw and the joint forces of the Three Brotherhood Alliance in northern Shan State since the Operation-1027 was launched by the alliance.
Due to these battles, China-Myanmar border trade has stopped and most locals have been fleeing to safety.
If China did not participate in the operation of the Three Brotherhood Alliance, the battles could become more widespread, U Htet Myet, a writer and a Myanmar political commentator, told CNI News.
While seeing northern Three Brotherhood Alliance
" There are two types. One is that China is not behind the Three Brotherhood Alliance. If so, the war waged by the three brotherhood alliance may deepen. It may be stronger. Chin and Rakhine can fight together with these three groups. At the same time, armed groups that are active along the Myanmar-Thailand border can take part in the operations. Even Rakhine armed group (the AA), according to its understanding, it has already joined the attack. That is to say if China is not behind the Three brotherhood Alliance. But if they move this according to China's attitude, if they stop this because China tell them to stop it, the current revolution will actually be just a show." said U Htet Myet.
The Battles between the two sides have been breaking out fiercely since the Three Brotherhood Alliance launched the operation on 27th October.
The operation that was launched in northern Shan State has been spreading to Kachin State, Sagaing and Mandalay Regions.
