CNI News
11 September 2023
China will not accept the National Unity Government that is close to the western countries, said Dr. Aung Myo, a Myanmar political analyst, to CNI News.
There are disagreements among the revolutionary organizations without any unities among the revolutionary forces, he said.
" By considering the problem in Pale, NUG/PDF won't beat this war. China won't allow the NUG to beat the war. I'd like to tell a point that nobody knows. China doesn't accept it. Most of the people these days don't know how the Patriotic Liberation Army (PLA), a rebel organization active in Myanmar from 1962 to 1974, badly ended. All PLA forces were disarmed by the Karen National Union (KNU). High-ranking people of the PLA were killed. The people who were personally friendly to them were released. Bo Let Ya, who took part in the PLA as a leader, who was a flagship leader of the 30 Comrades and who was the first defense minister of Myanmar, was killed by KNU. So, in the end, will KNU dominate? Will Bamar PDFs with more manpower dominate the KNU? In the end, they will fight against each other that we can guess." said Dr. Aung Myo.
Some PDFs
China's Investments in Myanmar are Kyauk Phyu Deep Sea Port, gas and oil pipeline, special economic zones and other investments. Because there are a lot of Chinese investments in Myanmar, China would deal with the State Administration Council (SAC) that has taken power currently, said U Htet Myet, a Myanmar political analyst, to CNI News.
" In general, the problem is that the NUG is right-wing. Western countries are in more harmony with right-wingers. If you ask if the NUG get in touch with left-wingers, Vietnam, for example, will have no relation with the NUG. The NUG and Russia are the opposite. China also will be the same as Russia. But because China is a bit skillful in diplomacy, it knows how to behave or speak. It's hard to say what it is if we can't practically see. China has invested a lot in Myanmar. So, China will mainly deal with the government that has taken power. It will be difficult for China to deal obviously with the rebel government, I think." said U Htet Myet.
the NUG and US representatives
After the Tatmadaw took power on 1st February, 2021, democratic elements have been waging an armed revolution with protesting against the Tatmadaw. And then, armed conflicts have been breaking out across the country and peace, economy, education, health and social affairs of the country are being damaged.
Because the NUG that is striving to topple down the Tatmadaw is close to the western countries including US, China will not probably accept the NUG for the sake of its national security and self-interest protection, pointed out some people.
