CNI News
21 Oct 2022
There are concerns that the armed conflicts to topple the military will lead to the disintegration of the country in the absence of the Tatmadaw.
The military has been ruling the country by ousting the National League for Democracy Government after declaring a state of emergency.
Since then, the democratic revolution has been raging to overthrow the military.
With many armed organizations and separatists, a question arises in the political circle if the country will disintegrate when the Tatmadaw collapses.
If the Myanmar military was in a chao, the country would suffer and the transformation to the federal union can be implemented through the proper system, an EAO leader Col Khun Okkar told the CNI.
Pro-democracy protestors. (Frontier Myanmar)
He said, “There is a difference between the chaotic collapse of the army and systematic security reform to transform it into a federal army. From the point of view of the military, they might think the Tatmadaw has collapsed. However, the country will not face negative consequences if systematic transformation can be carried out. In some countries, the military changed into mafia gangs when dictators fell. The best way is the security sector integration and reform to transform the Tatmadaw into a federal army.”
Myanmar is facing domestic and foreign threats and it is vulnerable to collapse without the Tatmadaw, Director U Thein Tun Oo of the Strategic Studies told the CNI.
The NUG-PDF troops fighting for democracy.
He told the CNI, “Our country is under domestic and foreign threats at present. At home, we are involved in armed conflicts. At the same time, there are serious foreign threats. It is facing indirect foreign threats. The Tatmadaw is facing domestic and foreign threats. When a civilian government rules the country, it is weak because it lacks a security perspective. So, it is burdensome for the Tatmadaw. Only the Tatmadaw can bear the brunt of the consequences. Without it, the country is vulnerable to disintegration.”
Every country needs an army to defend it but the current army does not bode well for the country, Comrade Aye Lwin of the ABSDF told the CNI.
He said, “In my opinion, it is important for a country to have an army to defend it and its people. However, an army built by a dictator cannot contribute to the country. Security sector reform and reintegration are essential. We really need a federal army to defend the federal union. We do not need an army built by a dictator.
Snr Gen Min Aung Hlaing and leaders of the UWSA, the NDAA and the SSPP
Armed conflicts have erupted between the Tatmadaw and joint forces of some ethnic armed organizations and the people’s defence forces in Sagaing Region, Magway Region, Chin State, Karen State and Kayah State.
On the other hand, some EAOs and Snr Gen Min Aung Hlaing are holding peace talks and discussing disarmament, demobilization and reintegration and security sector reform.
