Cessation of fighting by powerful groups affects revolution
CNI News
1 May 2025
If powerful armed organizations stop waging battles, it could, it could have any impact on the current revolution, Col. Saw Kyaw Nyunt, spokesman for the EAO Alliance, told CNI News.
Due to Chinese intervention, the Kokang National Democratic Alliance Army (MNDAA) handed over Lashio city that it occupied on August 3, 2024 to the Myanmar Tatmadaw, which in turn took over the Kokang Special Region (1).
Similarly, there are speculations that the TNLA may also hold talks through the “Wa”. Colonel Saw Kyaw Nyunt, spokesperson for the 7 EAO Alliance, told CNI that if the powerful armed groups stop carrying out armed resistance, it could have some impact on the current path of the revolution.
“There are many revolutionary struggles being carried out by revolutionary forces in our country at present. Among these many, some are more or less related to each other, but there are many difficulties in creating a situation where they can work together as a great group. The TNLA and the MNDAA are powerful ethnic armed groups. If they stop the armed revolution, it will have some effect on the current armed revolution. Fighting will unavoidably continue in some areas amid the unusual political situation. Each organization has different views and perspectives on whether the cessation of fighting by powerful groups has weakened the revolution, I think." he said.
While seeing the the MNDAA, the AA and the TNLA
The Northern Alliance groups (TNLA-MNDAA-AA) jointly announced a one-month unilateral ceasefire from April 1 to 30 on April 1, 2025.
The Myanmar Tatmadaw that had announced a unilateral ceasefire from April 2 to 22 extended until April 30.
Whether the revolution is weakened or not depends on the mainland and if the NUG leaders can rise up, the country will be liberated quickly, U Kyi Myint, a political commentator told CNI News.
"Whether the revolution is weak or not depends on the mainland. The mainland has a population of 36 million, so it depends on that. In other places, the population is 800,000, 1 million, 2 million, and that's it. Rakhine is the largest, with only 3 million. Some EAOs tried hard and liberate themselves when China showed green light. If the NUG leaders on the mainland can rise up, our country will be liberated quickly. If they don't rise up, we won't be liberated." he said.
While seeing the KIA/PDF joint force
The National Unity Government (NUG) will work harder to achieve a major turning point in 2025, said the NUG Acting President Duwa Lashi La on April 17, 2025. Currently, the AA has controlled the towns of Thandwe, Gwa, Ann, Minbya, Mrauk-U, Maungdaw, Rathedaung, Buthidaung, Kyauktaw, Punnagyun, Manaung, Pauktaw, Taung Goad, and Myebon in Rakhine State.
Similarly, the TNLA has controlled Namkham, Nansang, Mantong, Namtu, Mong Ngo, Kyauk Mae, Nawng Cho, Kutkai, Thibaw, Momeik, Mabain in northern Shan State, and Mogok in Mandalay Region.
The MNDAA then controlled Theinni, Laukkai, Kon kyan, Phaungsai, Mongko, Chin Shwe Haw, and Kutkai in northern Shan State.
In addition, the Kachin Independence Army (KIA) has controlled the towns of Somprabum, Injangyang, Sadon, Chipwe, Sok Law, Phimaw, Panwa, Dodphongyang, Sinbo, Myo Hla, Mansi, Kan Pite Tee, Momauk, and the border trading town of Loi Gye in Kachin State.
The KIA-PDF also has controlled the towns of Shwe Pyi Aye, Phaungbyin, Pinlebu, and Khampat in Sagaing Region.
